METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
Baku, Azerbaijan
27 Jun 2026
Catchweight
VS
67%
Donchenko
33%
Gustafsson
Win Probability
Daniil
Daniil Donchenko
14 – 2
5'11"71" reachOrthodox24 yrs2-fight win streakVolume Striker
CFR 80
Andreas
Andreas Gustafsson
"Bane"
12 – 3
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis Β· live news & data

Edge: Donchenko

Donchenko's 80+ CFR makes him one of the more dominant favourites on the card β€” Gustafsson needs a miracle

Daniil Donchenko is 14-2 with a CFR of 80.4. Those numbers mark him as one of the more accomplished lightweight prospects in this event, and the assignment against Andreas Gustafsson (12-3, CFR 38.9) is essentially a performance slot. Gustafsson, the Swedish lightweight, arrives with a 41.5-point CFR deficit β€” the kind of gap that rarely gets bridged in practice. His 12-3 record shows he's been c…

Donchenko intel

Daniil Donchenko is 14-2 with a CFR of 80.4 β€” one of the stronger prospect profiles in this event. The Russian lightweight should treat this as a performance showcase rather than a competitive challenge.

Gustafsson intel

Andreas Gustafsson is 12-3 with a CFR of 38.9. The Swedish fighter is a credible professional but the CFR gap here is too wide to suggest a genuine competitive matchup.

Key angles

Does Donchenko finish early and confirm his prospect credentials?

Gustafsson's survival instinct β€” can he last long enough to create a moment?

A laboured Donchenko victory would raise more questions than a dominant one

Risk flags

Gustafsson is a professional β€” any single moment of carelessness from Donchenko is a live situation

Prospect fights occasionally produce unexpected results when the underdog commits fully

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Donchenko
Gustafsson
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+73"
24+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Donchenko
Gustafsson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
80.4
38.9
77.5
Performance Avg
35.0
63
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
55
Donchenko
Gustafsson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.2
56%
Strike Accuracy
67%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Donchenko
Gustafsson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Donchenko
Gustafsson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
β€”
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
β€”
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
3/16 fights
Chin rating based on
3/15 fights
Donchenko
Gustafsson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
55
2-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Donchenko
Gustafsson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Donchenko
Gustafsson
Striking7.0 / 1.0Volume6.0 / 9.0Grappling1.2 / 2.4Wrestling0.8 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Donchenko
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Gustafsson
Donchenko
Attacking
42HEAD14BODY17LEGS73 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD3BODY0LEGS28 absorbed
Gustafsson
Attacking
31HEAD3BODY4LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD5BODY1LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Donchenko targets the head (58% of attacks) β€” Gustafsson absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Gustafsson targets the head (82% of attacks) β€” Donchenko absorbs 89% of strikes there

Donchenko Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W4.5W2025-092026-02
WinLossTrend

Gustafsson Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.9W3.1L2025-062025-09
WinLossTrend

Donchenko Β· Last 3

Upcoming
Andreas Gustafsson
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres Β· 2026-06
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira Β· 2026-02
W Β· KO Β· R1
Rodrigo SezinandoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva Β· 2025-09

Gustafsson Β· Last 3

Upcoming
Daniil Donchenko
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres Β· 2026-06
L Β· KO Β· R1
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho Β· 2025-09
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Khaos WilliamsRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 Β· 2025-06

News & Media

Daniil Donchenko Β· Andreas Gustafsson
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