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A Brazilian strawweight rematch seven years in the making, with Carnelossi seeking to prove her 2019 win was no fluke.
Ariane Carnelossi beat Ketlen Souza via TKO body kick back in 2019, but both fighters have changed dramatically since that regional circuit meeting. The question is who has evolved more. Souza changed training camps ahead of UFC Vegas 113 in February 2026 and delivered a convincing unanimous decision win over Bruna Brasil — her best performance in years. The Luta Livre specialist brings legitimat…
Souza (16-6, CFR 42.9) has quietly won seven of her last nine, most recently over Bruna Brasil in February 2026. Her new camp has improved her overall game and she enters with genuine confidence.
Carnelossi (15-4, CFR 54.8) has not fought cleanly in recent outings — a DQ win followed by a submission stoppage loss. The Alencar loss exposed possible vulnerabilities on the ground that Souza's Luta Livre background could exploit.
Carnelossi's chin and composure on the ground vs Souza's Luta Livre
Prior 2019 result provides historical context but limited predictive value
Souza's new camp has visibly improved her consistency
Carnelossi's submission loss to Alencar is a red flag for this matchup
Carnelossi's striking could finish this before the grappling becomes a factor, as she demonstrated in 2019
If the fight stays standing, Souza's volume approach may not generate enough clean scoring shots
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10