METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
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The 24-year-old Baba Yaga has a 100% finish rate and the longest reach in the middleweight division — Almeida is a dangerous but ageing test.
Damian Pinas is the kind of fighter who makes talent evaluators sit forward. At 24, 'The Baba Yaga' carries a 9-1 record with every single victory coming by stoppage — a 100% finish rate that puts him in rare company among UFC prospects. His striking rating (10.0) and pressure score (10.0) are both maxed out, suggesting a fighter who throws with genuine intent on every single exchange. His reach …
Pinas is 9-1 with a 100% finish rate in wins. At 24, he's one of the youngest fighters on the card and arguably the biggest prospect. His 200.7cm reach is a freak physical attribute. His UFC debut KO of Schultz in February was a statement. Opened as a -205 favourite.
Almeida is 7-2 and 38 years old. His UFC record of 3-2 is respectable but unspectacular. Coming off a decision loss to Oleksiejczuk in December. His chin (96.0) is his best asset — he can absorb damage — but he's been knocked down in two of his last four UFC fights, suggesting diminishing durability despite the rating.
Pinas's 100% finish rate and maxed-out striking/pressure ratings make him the most dangerous prospect on the prelims
200.7cm reach gives Pinas a physical advantage most middleweights can't neutralise
14-year age gap (24 vs 38) favours Pinas in speed, recovery, and explosiveness
Almeida has been knocked down twice in recent fights despite a 96.0 chin rating
Statistical models suggest under 1.5 rounds is the most likely outcome
Almeida's experience and chin mean he could survive Pinas's early storm and find a counter — he's been in with better strikers
Pinas's aggression can be reckless at times, leaving him open to counters from a fighter who's seen everything
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Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10