UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2026
Catchweight
VS
59%
Pinas
41%
Almeida
Win Probability
Damian
Damian Pinas
"The Baba Yaga"
9 – 1
6'1"79" reachOrthodox24 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 83
Cesar
Cesar Almeida
"Cesinha"
7 – 2
Striker38 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Pinas

Damian Pinas and Cesar Almeida clash on the UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 card

Damian Pinas (9-1) meets Cesar Almeida (7-2) in what promises to be a compelling matchup on the UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 card. This is a striking battle between two fighters who prefer to keep the fight standing. The CFR gap tells a clear story — Damian Pinas's rating significantly outpaces Cesar Almeida's, suggesting a meaningful talent disparity. The model gives the favourite a 82.4% wi…

Pinas intel

Damian Pinas (9-1) carries a CFR of 82.8 with a chin rating of 100 and momentum score of 100. Currently on strong form.

Almeida intel

Cesar Almeida (7-2) carries a CFR of 57.1 with a chin rating of 96 and momentum score of 58. Recent results have been mixed.

Key angles

Damian Pinas's superior CFR rating indicates an overall talent advantage

Damian Pinas's high finish rate makes a stoppage likely

Damian Pinas's momentum advantage reflects superior recent form

Risk flags

Cesar Almeida's finishing ability means one clean shot could change everything

Pinas
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
74"
24+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pinas
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
82.8
57.1
76.0
Performance Avg
52.0
60
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
58
Pinas
Almeida
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
65%
Strike Accuracy
59%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Pinas
Almeida
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pinas
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/10 fights
Chin rating based on
6/9 fights
Pinas
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
58
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pinas
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pinas
Almeida
Striking10.0 / 7.9Volume2.0 / 3.9Grappling0.0 / 0.8Wrestling0.0 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure10.0 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
Pinas
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Almeida
Pinas
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY4LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Almeida
Attacking
40HEAD26BODY11LEGS77 landed
Absorbing
38HEAD8BODY6LEGS52 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pinas targets the head (60% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Almeida targets the body (34% of attacks) — Pinas absorbs 67% of strikes there

Almeida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0105.2W6.5L4.5W6.5W6.8L2024-042024-062024-102025-012025-12
WinLossTrend

Pinas · Last 2

Upcoming
Cesar Almeida
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R1
Wes SchultzRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

Almeida · Last 5

Upcoming
Damian Pinas
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Cezary OleksiejczukRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · KO · R1
Abdul Razak AlhassanRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Ihor PotieriaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

News & Media

Damian Pinas · Cesar Almeida
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