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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Las Vegas, USA
26 Sept 2026
Lightweight
VS
11%
Harrell
89%
Brener
Win Probability
Josiah
Josiah Harrell
"The Muscle Hamster"
111
5'7"68" reachSouthpaw27 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 6
Elves
Elves Brener
166
Striker3-fight slide28 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Brener

Harrell is 11-1 as a professional and the database knows one thing about him: he got knocked out in three minutes by the best man he has faced.

Josiah Harrell is 11-1 as a professional and the database holds exactly one of those fights: a first-round knockout loss to Jacobe Smith in February, at welterweight. Smith rates 81.3, which is a serious number, and Harrell lasted three minutes. That single data point is responsible for his 6.2 composite rating, his 0.0 quality-of-victory, his 0.0 momentum score and the row of zeroes across every …

Harrell intel

Harrell (11-1) has one recorded UFC fight — a first-round TKO defeat to Jacobe Smith, rated 81.3, in February at welterweight. Every rating he carries derives from that one appearance, including a 6.2 composite and 0.0 momentum, and none of it should be read as a settled assessment.

Brener intel

Brener (16-6) is 3-3 in recorded fights and has lost his last three — to Ribovics in August 2025, Alvarez by third-round TKO in August 2024, and Orolbai in May 2024. His last win was a first-round knockout in November 2023.

Key angles

One recorded UFC fight on Harrell, and it lasted three minutes

Brener has not won since November 2023 — three straight defeats

10.2cm of reach for Brener against a southpaw

Brener's 0.00 submission score and 0.56 wrestling — no answer if this hits the mat

Both men carry chin ratings in the seventies with stoppage losses on record

Risk flags

Harrell's 6.2 composite is an artefact of an almost empty file and probably understates him badly

Brener's three-fight skid means a fourth loss likely ends his run at this level, which cuts both ways

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Harrell
Brener
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+72"
27+
Age
28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Harrell
Brener
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
6.2
51.3
0.0
Performance Avg
47.0
0
Quality of Victory
45
0
Momentum Score
52
Harrell
Brener
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.0
/ 10
7.7
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
6.2
0.0
Style: Volume
3.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Harrell
Brener
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Harrell
Brener
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
2/12 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Harrell
Brener
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
52
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Harrell
Brener
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Harrell
Brener
Striking0.0 / 7.7Volume0.0 / 3.7Grappling0.0 / 0.8Wrestling0.0 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Harrell
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Brener
Harrell
Attacking
1HEAD3BODY3LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD9BODY6LEGS33 absorbed
Brener
Attacking
82HEAD21BODY27LEGS130 landed
Absorbing
117HEAD29BODY6LEGS152 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Harrell targets the head (14% of attacks) — Brener absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Brener targets the head (63% of attacks) — Harrell absorbs 55% of strikes there

Harrell · Last 2

Upcoming
Elves Brener
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
L · KO · R1
Jacobe Smith
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02

Brener · Last 5

Upcoming
Josiah Harrell
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Esteban Ribovics
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R3
Joel Alvarez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Myktybek Orolbai
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · KO · R1
Kaynan Kruschewsky
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

News & Media

Josiah Harrell · Elves Brener
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