UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
Macau, China
30 May 2026
Catchweight
VS
56%
Perez
44%
Win Probability
Alex
Alex Perez
2610
5'6"65" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 61
Sumudaerji
Sumudaerji
"The Tibetan Eagle"
197
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak30 yrsSouthpaw72" reach5'8"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Perez

Alex Perez and Sumudaerji clash on the UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo card

Alex Perez (26-10) meets Sumudaerji (19-7) in what promises to be a compelling matchup on the UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo card. Both fighters bring well-rounded skillsets that should produce a technically interesting contest. This is a closely matched fight by the numbers, with both fighters carrying similar CFR ratings. The model gives Sumudaerji a 71.3% edge, but the medium-confidence …

Perez intel

Alex Perez (26-10) carries a CFR of 60.7 with a chin rating of 18 and momentum score of 100. Currently on strong form.

intel

Sumudaerji (19-7) carries a CFR of 47.6 with a chin rating of 62 and momentum score of 75. Recent results have been mixed.

Key angles

Alex Perez's superior CFR rating indicates an overall talent advantage

Alex Perez's striking superiority should control the stand-up game

Alex Perez's chin vulnerability could be exploited

Alex Perez's high finish rate makes a stoppage likely

Alex Perez's momentum advantage reflects superior recent form

Risk flags

Alex Perez's finishing ability means one clean shot could change everything

Perez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
65"
Reach
+72"
34
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Perez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
47.6
52.7
Performance Avg
42.5
50
Quality of Victory
31
100
Momentum Score
75
Perez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.8
49%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Perez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
Perez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
62
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
15/36 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Perez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
75
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Perez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
17%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Perez
Striking6.1 / 2.9Volume3.1 / 7.9Grappling2.6 / 2.0Wrestling1.8 / 1.4Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 3.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Perez
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Perez
Attacking
161HEAD41BODY53LEGS255 landed
Absorbing
118HEAD30BODY17LEGS165 absorbed
Attacking
162HEAD32BODY32LEGS226 landed
Absorbing
69HEAD16BODY12LEGS97 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the head (63% of attacks) — absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯 targets the head (72% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 72% of strikes there

Perez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.6L2.8L6.9L5.3W3.9L5.1L5.9W2017-122019-032022-072025-112026-01
WinLossTrend

· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0102.8L4.5W5.0W4.5W2.9L1.6L6.4L4.5W4.5W5.4W2018-112021-012024-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Perez · Last 5

Upcoming
Sumudaerji
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Charles JohnsonRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Matheus NicolauRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

· Last 5

Upcoming
Alex Perez
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Jesus AguilarRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin BorjasRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Mitch RaposoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

News & Media

Alex Perez · Sumudaerji
← Back to fights