Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira — UFC Prediction, Odds & Win Probability

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2

Los Angeles, USA

19 Sept 2026

Middleweight

50%

Shahbazyan

50%

Ferreira

Win Probability

Edmen Shahbazyan

"The Golden Boy"

16 – 5

6'2"75" reachOrthodox28 yrsKnockout Artist

CFR 62

Brunno Ferreira

"The Hulk"

15 – 3

Pressure Fighter2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"

CFR 63

Edmen

Shahbazyan

5 books quoted

18+ · BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Shahbazyan

Two middleweights with matching composite ratings, matching pressure and two of the weakest chins in the division — this ends early, one way or the other.

Some fights are close because the model cannot decide and some are close because there is genuinely nothing to decide between. Edmen Shahbazyan rates 62.0. Brunno Ferreira rates 62.7. Their pressure scores are 7.24 and 7.63, their volume 2.98 and 2.53, their finish rates 0.78 and 0.83. Two aggressive middleweights who end fights and get ended. The durability numbers are what make it volatile rath…

Shahbazyan intel

Shahbazyan (16-5) lost a decision to Brendan Allen in June 2026 after knocking out Andre Muniz in the first round in October 2025 and Dylan Budka in 95 seconds in February 2025. At 28 he is the younger man by five years, and his 18.0 chin rating is the worrying figure — Gerald Meerschaert submitted him in 2024.

Ferreira intel

Ferreira (15-3) has lost two straight, a decision to Ikram Aliskerov in June 2026 and a first-round knockout to Gregory Rodrigues in March. Before that he beat Marvin Vettori on the cards and submitted both Jackson McVey and Armen Petrosyan inside two rounds. A 0.83 finish rate and a 42.0 chin rating.

Key angles

Seven tenths of a point between the composites — 62.7 against 62.0

Chin ratings of 18.0 and 42.0 in a fight both men want standing

Ferreira's 3.33 submission score against the only route anyone has used to finish Shahbazyan

Ten centimetres of height and eight of reach for Shahbazyan

Ferreira's win over Marvin Vettori is the best name on either sheet, and it was nine months ago

Risk flags

Shahbazyan's 18.0 chin rating means Ferreira's 0.83 finish rate needs one connection

If Ferreira gets a takedown, Shahbazyan's 0.99 wrestling score offers almost no resistance and his one recent stoppage loss was a submission

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Shahbazyan

Ferreira

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"+

Height

5'10"

75"+

Reach

72"

28+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Shahbazyan

Ferreira

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

62.0

62.7

54.6

Performance Avg

54.8

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Shahbazyan

Ferreira

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

7.9

/ 10

6.2

/ 10

7.2

Style: Pressure

7.6

3.0

Style: Volume

2.5

6 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Shahbazyan

Ferreira

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

1.4

/ 10

3.1

/ 10

1.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.1

1.1

Submission Style (/10)

3.3

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Shahbazyan

Ferreira

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.7 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

7 fights ago

Last KO loss

2 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

16/21 fights

Chin rating based on

11/18 fights

Shahbazyan

Ferreira

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

Last 5

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

Shahbazyan

Ferreira

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

78%

83%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shahbazyan

Ferreira

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

6.2

1.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.1

1.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.1

1.1

Submission

Submission attack frequency

3.3

7.2

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.6

3.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.5

Shahbazyan

Strike Zones

Career patterns

Ferreira

Shahbazyan

Attacking

226 landed

Absorbing

205 absorbed

Ferreira

Attacking

123 landed

Absorbing

134 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Shahbazyan targets the head (80% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 75% of strikes there

🎯Ferreira targets the head (72% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 79% of strikes there

Shahbazyan · Last 5

Upcoming

Brunno Ferreira

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09

L · Dec · R3

Brendan Allen

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06

W · KO · R1

Andre Muniz

KO/TKO

UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10

W · Dec · R3

Andre Petroski

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

W · KO · R1

Dylan Budka

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

Ferreira · Last 5

Upcoming

Edmen Shahbazyan

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09

L · Dec · R3

Ikram Aliskerov

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06

L · KO · R1

Gregory Rodrigues

KO/TKO

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03

W · Dec · R3

Marvin Vettori

Decision

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12

W · Sub · R1

Jackson McVey

Submission

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07

News & Media

Edmen Shahbazyan · Brunno Ferreira

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Brunno

Ferreira

5 books quoted

18+ · BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG