UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2026
Catchweight
VS
91%
Steveson
9%
Ellison
Win Probability
GS
Gable Steveson
30
25 yrs
CFR 64
Elisha
Elisha Ellison
"The Snack Panther"
52
Well-Rounded29 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'0"
CFR 6

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Steveson

A battle of contrasting styles as Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison clash on the UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 card

Gable Steveson (3-0) meets Elisha Ellison (5-2) in what promises to be a compelling matchup on the UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 card. Both fighters bring well-rounded skillsets that should produce a technically interesting contest. The CFR gap tells a clear story — Gable Steveson's rating significantly outpaces Elisha Ellison's, suggesting a meaningful talent disparity. The model gives the fa…

Steveson intel

Gable Steveson (3-0) carries a CFR of 64.2 with a chin rating of 70 and momentum score of 50. Has been struggling in recent outings.

Ellison intel

Elisha Ellison (5-2) carries a CFR of 6.2 with a chin rating of 78 and momentum score of 0. Has been struggling in recent outings.

Key angles

Gable Steveson's superior CFR rating indicates an overall talent advantage

Gable Steveson's striking superiority should control the stand-up game

Gable Steveson's momentum advantage reflects superior recent form

Risk flags

This is a close fight — Elisha Ellison has a legitimate path to victory

Elisha Ellison's superior durability could prove decisive in a war of attrition

Steveson
Ellison
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
Height
6'0"
Reach
78"
25+
Age
29
Stance
Orthodox
Steveson
Ellison
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
6.2
Performance Avg
0.0
Quality of Victory
0
Momentum Score
0
Steveson
Ellison
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.2
Strike Accuracy
33%
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Steveson
Ellison
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Steveson
Ellison
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
1/3 fights
Chin rating based on
2/7 fights
Steveson
Ellison
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
Upcoming
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
Steveson
Ellison
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Steveson
Ellison
Striking0.0 / 0.0Volume0.0 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Steveson
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Ellison
Ellison
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD2BODY4LEGS29 absorbed

Steveson · Last 1

Upcoming
Elisha Ellison
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

Ellison · Last 2

Upcoming
Gable Steveson
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Brando PericicRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09

News & Media

Gable Steveson · Elisha Ellison
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