Kai Asakura vs Cameron Smotherman — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo

Macau, China

30 May 2026

Catchweight

15%

Asakura

85%

Smotherman

Win Probability

KO/TKO · Punch

Round 1 · 1:50

Kai Asakura

21 – 6

5'8"69" reachOrthodox32 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 6

Cameron Smotherman

"The Baby-Faced Killa"

12 – 6

Well-Rounded2-fight slide28 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'9"

CFR 34

★ Official Result

Kai AsakurawinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:50

def. Cameron Smotherman · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Smotherman

Cameron Smotherman wins via unanimous decision, controlling the pace throughout.

→

Actual result

Asakura wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Kai Asakura and Cameron Smotherman collide in a matchup that could reshape division trajectories

When Kai Asakura (21-6) and Cameron Smotherman (12-6) step into the octagon at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, it will be a clash that tests where both fighters truly stand in the division pecking order. Both fighters bring overlapping skill sets to the cage, which means the margins will be razor-thin. Preparation, game-planning, and mid-fight adjustments will prove decisive. The numbers t…

Asakura intel

Kai Asakura (21-6) carries a CFR of 6.1 with a 0% finish rate, chin rating of 76, and momentum score of 0.0.

Smotherman intel

Cameron Smotherman (12-6) carries a CFR of 33.8 with a 0% finish rate, chin rating of 96, and momentum score of 40.0.

Key angles

Cameron Smotherman's grappling edge creates a clear path to victory on the mat

Cameron Smotherman's superior momentum suggests better recent form and confidence

The fighter who controls distance and pace will have a significant advantage

Risk flags

Kai Asakura could spring an upset with superior game-planning or an early power shot

Asakura

Smotherman

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'8"

Height

+5'9"

69"

Reach

69"

Age

+28

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Asakura

Smotherman

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

6.1

33.8

0.0

Performance Avg

28.3

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Asakura

Smotherman

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.4

1.3

27%

Strike Accuracy

34%

0.0

Striking Style Score (/10)

0.7

0 KOs

KO Finishes

0 KOs

Asakura

Smotherman

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.0

/ 10

2.4

/ 10

0.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.7

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Asakura

Smotherman

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

3/27 fights

Chin rating based on

4/18 fights

Asakura

Smotherman

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

L · Sub · R2

Last 5

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Asakura

Smotherman

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Asakura

Smotherman

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

0.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.7

0.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.4

0.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.7

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

1.0

0.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

8.7

Asakura

Strike Zones

Career patterns

Smotherman

Asakura

Attacking

12 landed

Absorbing

12 absorbed

Smotherman

Attacking

75 landed

Absorbing

46 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Asakura targets the head (92% of attacks) — Smotherman absorbs 76% of strikes there

🎯Smotherman targets the head (69% of attacks) — Asakura absorbs 83% of strikes there

Asakura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.1

WinLossTrend

Smotherman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8

WinLossTrend

Asakura · Last 3

Upcoming

Cameron Smotherman

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05

L · Sub · R2

Tim ElliottRating 2.8

Submission

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

L · Sub · R2

Alexandre PantojaRating 3.4

Submission

UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12

Smotherman · Last 4

Upcoming

Kai Asakura

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05

L · Dec · R3

Ricky SimonRating 6.2

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

L · Dec · R3

Serhiy SideyRating 6.1

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05

W · Dec · R3

Jake HadleyRating 5.2

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

News & Media

Kai Asakura · Cameron Smotherman

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