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UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Las Vegas, USA
26 Sept 2026
Bantamweight
VS
52%
Jackson
48%
Simon
Win Probability
Montel
Montel Jackson
"Quik"
154
5'10"75" reachSouthpaw34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 52
Ricky
Ricky Simon
227
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'6"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Jackson

Both men have lost to Raoni Barcelos, who is headlining this card — and both need to make sure that isn't the last thing anyone remembers about them.

There is a symmetry to this booking that the matchmakers presumably enjoyed. Raoni Barcelos beat Ricky Simon on the cards in November, then beat Montel Jackson on the cards in April, and now headlines the card these two are fighting on. Both men are here to prove that the same result twice was a coincidence rather than a level. Jackson is the more physically imposing version of a bantamweight. He…

Jackson intel

Jackson (15-4) has lost two straight — to Raoni Barcelos in April and Deiveson Figueiredo in October — after beating Daniel Marcos, rated 61.0, in May 2025. His eighteen-second knockout of Da'Mon Blackshear in July 2024 remains the single most violent thing on either man's recent record.

Simon intel

Simon (22-7-1) has lost four of his last six, including to Barcelos in November. He beat Javid Basharat by first-round TKO in February 2025. His 48.0 chin rating is the lowest number carried by anyone in this bout and traces back to the fifth-round stoppage by Song Yadong in April 2023.

Key angles

Both men lost to Raoni Barcelos, who headlines this card

A 44-point chin-rating gap: 92.0 against 48.0

Jackson's 15.2cm reach edge from a southpaw stance

Simon's clean sweep of the grappling categories, 3.00 submission against 1.11

Two 34-year-olds, both on losing runs, both out of room

Risk flags

Jackson has now lost two in a row and his 48.0 momentum score says the decline is real, not noise

If Simon lands the first takedown clean, the reach advantage stops being relevant for a round at a time

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Jackson
Simon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'6"
75"+
Reach
69"
34
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jackson
Simon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.4
48.8
51.6
Performance Avg
48.0
40
Quality of Victory
38
48
Momentum Score
56
Jackson
Simon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
4.7
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
5.4
5.8
Style: Volume
5.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jackson
Simon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
3.0
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jackson
Simon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
48
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
14/19 fights
Chin rating based on
18/29 fights
Jackson
Simon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Jackson
Simon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jackson
Simon
Striking4.7 / 3.3Volume5.8 / 5.3Grappling2.2 / 3.6Wrestling1.6 / 2.5Submission1.1 / 3.0Pressure5.2 / 5.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Jackson
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Simon
Jackson
Attacking
119HEAD27BODY11LEGS157 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD18BODY32LEGS74 absorbed
Simon
Attacking
171HEAD24BODY22LEGS217 landed
Absorbing
272HEAD78BODY19LEGS369 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (76% of attacks) — Simon absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Simon targets the head (79% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 32% of strikes there

Jackson · Last 5

Upcoming
Ricky Simon
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Raoni Barcelos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson Figueiredo
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Daniel Marcos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Da'Mon Blackshear
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

Simon · Last 5

Upcoming
Montel Jackson
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
Upcoming
Adrian Yanez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni Barcelos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cameron Smotherman
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Javid Basharat
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

News & Media

Montel Jackson · Ricky Simon
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