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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
24 Oct 2026
Featherweight
VS
63%
Allen
37%
Pico
Win Probability
Arnold
Arnold Allen
"Almighty"
21 – 4
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 62
Aaron
Aaron Pico
14 – 5
Well-Rounded29 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 37

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis Β· live news & data

Edge: Allen

Allen has fifteen recorded fights and a 94 chin rating; Pico has two, a 1.0 striking score, and the highest volume figure on the card.

Arnold Allen is one of the more under-discussed fighters at featherweight, largely because he wins in a way nobody replays. He is 12-3 in recorded fights, and the three defeats are Max Holloway over five rounds, Movsar Evloev β€” who headlines this card β€” and Jean Silva in January. He has never lost to anyone outside the division's top tier, and he has never been finished. A 94.0 chin rating and a 1…

Allen intel

Allen (21-4) beat Melquizael Costa over five rounds in May and has never been finished in fifteen recorded fights. His three defeats are to Holloway, Evloev and Jean Silva, all on the cards. A 94.0 chin rating and 100.0 momentum score are the standout figures.

Pico intel

Pico (14-5) is 1-1 in recorded UFC fights β€” a decision win over Patricio Pitbull in April and a first-round knockout loss to Lerone Murphy in August 2025. His 9.00 volume score is the highest on this card and his 1.00 striking score among the lowest.

Key angles

Allen has never been finished in fifteen recorded UFC fights

Pico's 9.00 volume against a 1.00 striking score β€” a lot of output, little damage

Identical height and reach, with Allen the southpaw

Allen leads every grappling category against a fighter whose base is wrestling

Allen's 0.33 finish rate means Pico gets fifteen minutes to find something

Risk flags

Pico's file is two fights deep and his true level is not yet established either way

Allen does not finish people, so a Pico wrestling performance could bank rounds without ever hurting him

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Allen
Pico
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
32
Age
+29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Allen
Pico
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.3
37.1
52.8
Performance Avg
35.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
46
Allen
Pico
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.3
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
1.5
6.9
Style: Volume
9.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Allen
Pico
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Allen
Pico
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
β€”
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
β€”
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
16/25 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
Allen
Pico
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
46
Upcoming
W Β· Dec Β· R5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
Allen
Pico
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Allen
Pico
Striking3.3 / 1.0Volume6.9 / 9.0Grappling2.9 / 2.4Wrestling2.0 / 1.7Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Allen
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Pico
Allen
Attacking
184HEAD37BODY19LEGS240 landed
Absorbing
110HEAD37BODY23LEGS170 absorbed
Pico
Attacking
29HEAD10BODY3LEGS42 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD11BODY1LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Allen targets the head (77% of attacks) β€” Pico absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Pico targets the head (69% of attacks) β€” Allen absorbs 65% of strikes there

Allen Β· Last 5

Upcoming
Aaron Pico
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev Β· 2026-10
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Melquizael Costa
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa Β· 2026-05
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Jean Silva
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett Β· 2026-01
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Giga Chikadze
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 Β· 2024-07
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Movsar Evloev
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis Β· 2024-01

Pico Β· Last 3

Upcoming
Arnold Allen
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev Β· 2026-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Patricio Pitbull
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg Β· 2026-04
L Β· KO Β· R1
Lerone Murphy
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev Β· 2025-08

News & Media

Arnold Allen Β· Aaron Pico
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