UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2026
Catchweight
VS
51%
Mitchell
49%
Henry
Win Probability
Bryce
Bryce Mitchell
"Thug Nasty"
18 – 4
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 56
Victor
Victor Henry
"La Mangosta"
25 – 7
Well-Rounded39 yrsSwitch68" reach5'7"
CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Mitchell

A battle of contrasting styles as Bryce Mitchell and Victor Henry clash on the UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim card

Bryce Mitchell (18-4) meets Victor Henry (25-7) in what promises to be a compelling matchup on the UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim card. The classic striker-vs-grappler dynamic defines this matchup, with Victor Henry wanting to keep it standing and Bryce Mitchell looking to take it to the mat. This is a closely matched fight by the numbers, with both fighters carrying similar CFR ratings. Th…

Mitchell intel

Bryce Mitchell (18-4) carries a CFR of 55.7 with a chin rating of 54 and momentum score of 100. Currently on strong form.

Henry intel

Victor Henry (25-7) carries a CFR of 52.9 with a chin rating of 86 and momentum score of 81. Currently on strong form.

Key angles

Bryce Mitchell's chin vulnerability could be exploited

The medium confidence rating suggests a predictable outcome

The model gives Bryce Mitchell a 71.4% win probability

Risk flags

Victor Henry's superior durability could prove decisive in a war of attrition

Mitchell
Henry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
68"
31+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Mitchell
Henry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.7
52.9
48.6
Performance Avg
45.4
31
Quality of Victory
31
100
Momentum Score
81
Mitchell
Henry
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
2.0
55%
Strike Accuracy
55%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Mitchell
Henry
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
Mitchell
Henry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
8/32 fights
Mitchell
Henry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
81
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
Upcoming
Mitchell
Henry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mitchell
Henry
Striking2.6 / 3.8Volume7.7 / 7.3Grappling2.8 / 1.8Wrestling1.9 / 1.3Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Mitchell
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Henry
Mitchell
Attacking
60HEAD25BODY9LEGS94 landed
Absorbing
62HEAD14BODY6LEGS82 absorbed
Henry
Attacking
143HEAD56BODY10LEGS209 landed
Absorbing
102HEAD26BODY17LEGS145 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mitchell targets the head (64% of attacks) — Henry absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Henry targets the head (68% of attacks) — Mitchell absorbs 76% of strikes there

Mitchell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.1L5.2W1.6L6.3W4.3L5.9W2018-072020-052022-122024-122025-07
WinLossTrend

Henry · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.3W5.5L4.5W5.9W3.5L4.5W2022-012022-102023-032024-042024-112025-04
WinLossTrend

Mitchell · Last 5

Upcoming
Victor Henry
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R2
Jean SilvaRating 4.3
Submission
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R3
Kron GracieRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Henry · Last 5

Upcoming
Bryce Mitchell
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Pedro FalcaoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R2
Charles JourdainRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · KO · R3
Rani YahyaRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
Upcoming
Javid Basharat
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

News & Media

Bryce Mitchell · Victor Henry
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