UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2026
Catchweight
VS
45%
Muhammad
55%
Bonfim
Win Probability
Belal
Belal Muhammad
"Remember the Name"
245
5'11"72" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 57
Gabriel
Gabriel Bonfim
"Marretinha"
191
Well-Rounded4-fight win streak28 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'1"
CFR 69

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Bonfim

Former welterweight champion Belal Muhammad faces the division's most dangerous rising contender in a bout that could define the next title challenger

Belal Muhammad's path back to the welterweight title runs through one of the division's most dangerous young contenders. Gabriel Bonfim has been tearing through the 170-pound ranks with a blend of power striking and elite-level jiu-jitsu that has made him a nightmare matchup for anyone in the top 15. Muhammad's game is well-documented — relentless pressure, stifling wrestling, and the kind of car…

Muhammad intel

Belal Muhammad (24-5) is the former UFC welterweight champion ranked No. 4, looking to build momentum for another title shot. His grinding, pressure-heavy style built on wrestling and cardio has frustrated elite competition. His CFR of 56.8 reflects a methodical approach rather than flashy finishes.

Bonfim intel

Gabriel Bonfim (19-1) is a dangerous rising contender ranked No. 10 with recent wins over Stephen Thompson, Randy Brown, and Khaos Williams. His CFR of 69.3 and momentum score of 100 suggest a fighter peaking at the right time, with a 66.7% finish rate and dangerous submission game.

Key angles

Bonfim's submission threat may discourage Muhammad's wrestling-heavy approach

Muhammad's five-round cardio is his greatest weapon

Bonfim's finish rate (66.7%) suggests he'll push for a stoppage

Muhammad's experience headlining cards gives him a composure advantage

Risk flags

Bonfim's submission game could catch Muhammad in transition

If Muhammad can't establish wrestling control early, his path to victory narrows significantly

Muhammad
Bonfim
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
72"
37
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Muhammad
Bonfim
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.8
69.3
48.5
Performance Avg
61.5
31
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
100
Muhammad
Bonfim
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.6
45%
Strike Accuracy
47%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Muhammad
Bonfim
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.4
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Muhammad
Bonfim
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
19 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
22/29 fights
Chin rating based on
8/20 fights
Muhammad
Bonfim
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Muhammad
Bonfim
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
3
12
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Muhammad
Bonfim
Striking2.8 / 3.4Volume7.9 / 4.4Grappling2.5 / 4.8Wrestling1.7 / 3.4Submission0.7 / 5.0Pressure3.6 / 7.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Muhammad
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Bonfim
Muhammad
Attacking
418HEAD50BODY13LEGS481 landed
Absorbing
247HEAD85BODY67LEGS399 absorbed
Bonfim
Attacking
75HEAD17BODY21LEGS113 landed
Absorbing
51HEAD25BODY21LEGS97 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Muhammad targets the head (87% of attacks) — Bonfim absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Bonfim targets the head (66% of attacks) — Muhammad absorbs 62% of strikes there

Muhammad · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.5W3.0L5.4W4.5W4.6W4.5W6.5L4.5W5.7W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.1W6.0W6.4W4.7W5.6W7.0L7.0L2016-072017-112020-062022-102025-11
WinLossTrend

Bonfim · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.0W5.2W3.1L4.5W6.7W5.1W6.0W2023-012023-112025-022025-11
WinLossTrend

Muhammad · Last 5

Upcoming
Gabriel Bonfim
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 7
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Bonfim · Last 5

Upcoming
Belal Muhammad
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Randy BrownRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Stephen ThompsonRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Khaos WilliamsRating 6.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ange LoosaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

News & Media

Belal Muhammad · Gabriel Bonfim
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