UFC Freedom 250
Washington, USA
14 Jun 2026
Catchweight
VS
56%
Hokit
44%
Lewis
Win Probability
Josh
Josh Hokit
9 – 0
6'1"73" reachOrthodox28 yrs3-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 76
Derrick
Derrick Lewis
"The Black Beast"
29 – 13
Knockout Artist41 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'3"
CFR 59

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Hokit

Josh Hokit and Derrick Lewis clash on the UFC Freedom 250 card

Josh Hokit (9-0) meets Derrick Lewis (29-13) in what promises to be a compelling matchup on the UFC Freedom 250 card. This is a striking battle between two fighters who prefer to keep the fight standing. The CFR gap tells a clear story — Josh Hokit's rating significantly outpaces Derrick Lewis's, suggesting a meaningful talent disparity. The model gives the favourite a 75.9% win probability, and …

Hokit intel

Josh Hokit (9-0) carries a CFR of 75.5 with a chin rating of 100 and momentum score of 100. Currently on strong form.

Lewis intel

Derrick Lewis (29-13) carries a CFR of 59.2 with a chin rating of 0 and momentum score of 84. Currently on strong form.

Key angles

Josh Hokit's superior CFR rating indicates an overall talent advantage

Derrick Lewis's chin vulnerability could be exploited

Derrick Lewis's high finish rate makes a stoppage likely

Risk flags

Derrick Lewis's finishing ability means one clean shot could change everything

Hokit
Lewis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+79"
28+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hokit
Lewis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
75.5
59.2
69.0
Performance Avg
57.5
48
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
84
Hokit
Lewis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.7
1.3
64%
Strike Accuracy
56%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
16 KOs
Hokit
Lewis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
Hokit
Lewis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/9 fights
Chin rating based on
32/42 fights
Hokit
Lewis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
84
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Hokit
Lewis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
16
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hokit
Lewis
Striking8.7 / 9.3Volume4.7 / 2.9Grappling0.8 / 0.5Wrestling0.6 / 0.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.7 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Hokit
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Lewis
Hokit
Attacking
114HEAD14BODY0LEGS128 landed
Absorbing
55HEAD3BODY5LEGS63 absorbed
Lewis
Attacking
317HEAD41BODY10LEGS368 landed
Absorbing
198HEAD43BODY36LEGS277 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hokit targets the head (89% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Lewis targets the head (86% of attacks) — Hokit absorbs 87% of strikes there

Hokit · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W5.1W5.4W2025-112026-012026-04
WinLossTrend

Lewis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W1.5L5.2W2.8L5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.4W5.1W3.4L5.9W4.9W6.8W2.1L2.1L4.5W4.5W5.1W6.1W4.5L5.3W3.2L2.7L2.0L5.6W7.3L5.6W6.2W4.3L2014-042016-072019-032022-072026-01
WinLossTrend

Hokit · Last 4

Upcoming
Derrick Lewis
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Curtis BlaydesRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Denzel FreemanRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Max GimenisRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11

Lewis · Last 5

Upcoming
Josh Hokit
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

News & Media

Josh Hokit · Derrick Lewis
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