UFC Fight Night
Oklahoma City, USA
18 Jul 2026
Catchweight
VS
50%
Tavares
50%
Barriault
Win Probability
Brad
Brad Tavares
21 – 13
6'1"74" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 36
Marc-Andre
Marc-Andre Barriault
"Powerbar"
17 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 36

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Tavares

Brad Tavares and Marc-Andre Barriault clash on the UFC Fight Night card

Brad Tavares (21-13) meets Marc-Andre Barriault (17-11) in what promises to be a compelling matchup on the UFC Fight Night card. Both fighters bring well-rounded skillsets that should produce a technically interesting contest. This is a closely matched fight by the numbers, with both fighters carrying similar CFR ratings. The model gives Marc-Andre Barriault a 50.9% edge, but the medium-confidenc…

Tavares intel

Brad Tavares (21-13) carries a CFR of 35.6 with a chin rating of 0 and momentum score of 49. Has been struggling in recent outings.

Barriault intel

Marc-Andre Barriault (17-11) carries a CFR of 35.6 with a chin rating of 10 and momentum score of 13. Has been struggling in recent outings.

Key angles

Marc-Andre Barriault's striking superiority should control the stand-up game

Brad Tavares's momentum advantage reflects superior recent form

The medium confidence rating suggests a predictable outcome

The model gives Marc-Andre Barriault a 50.9% win probability

Risk flags

This is a close fight — Brad Tavares has a legitimate path to victory

Tavares
Barriault
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
74"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tavares
Barriault
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
35.6
40.1
Performance Avg
41.9
29
Quality of Victory
45
49
Momentum Score
13
Tavares
Barriault
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Tavares
Barriault
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
Tavares
Barriault
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/34 fights
Chin rating based on
18/28 fights
Tavares
Barriault
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
13
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Tavares
Barriault
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
14
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tavares
Barriault
Striking2.4 / 5.8Volume8.1 / 3.4Grappling2.1 / 2.1Wrestling1.5 / 1.5Submission0.0 / 1.7Pressure2.6 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Tavares
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Barriault
Tavares
Attacking
263HEAD65BODY106LEGS434 landed
Absorbing
308HEAD58BODY61LEGS427 absorbed
Barriault
Attacking
363HEAD76BODY28LEGS467 landed
Absorbing
262HEAD94BODY29LEGS385 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the head (61% of attacks) — Barriault absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Barriault targets the head (78% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 72% of strikes there

Tavares · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L2.8L4.5W2.4L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W6.9L2.9L4.5W4.5W7.4L2.8L5.3W5.6L6.6L5.6W4.9L6.3L2010-062014-012017-102023-042026-03
WinLossTrend

Barriault · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5L5.5L6.6L5.5W4.5W2.6L5.0W5.4L5.8W5.3W6.2L3.5L1.5L6.3W7.0L6.5L2019-052021-092023-032024-112026-02
WinLossTrend

Tavares · Last 5

Upcoming
Marc-Andre Barriault
UFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Robert BryczekRating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10

Barriault · Last 5

Upcoming
Brad Tavares
UFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michal OleksiejczukRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Bruno SilvaRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Dustin StoltzfusRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11

News & Media

Brad Tavares · Marc-Andre Barriault
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