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UFC Fight Night
Oklahoma City, USA
18 Jul 2026
Catchweight
VS
50%
Tavares
50%
Barriault
Win Probability
Brad
Brad Tavares
21 – 13
6'1"74" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 36
Marc-Andre
Marc-Andre Barriault
"Powerbar"
17 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 36

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis Β· live news & data

Edge: Tavares

Tavares chases Bisping's all-time middleweight wins record in Oklahoma City against a fellow veteran on a historic losing skid.

History is the only compelling angle in a fight between two veterans on significant losing streaks. Brad Tavares, at 38 years old, is one win away from surpassing Michael Bisping for the most victories in UFC middleweight history. That's a remarkable achievement for a fighter who was never champion, never headlined a pay-per-view, and has quietly compiled 16 wins at 185 pounds over a career that s…

Tavares intel

Tavares is 38 and has lost four of his last five. He needs one win to surpass Bisping's record for most middleweight wins in UFC history. His chin (0) is catastrophic, but his volume (8.14) keeps him in fights. Fighting at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City β€” a new venue for UFC.

Barriault intel

Barriault has lost five of his last six. His most recent loss earned a $100,000 Fight of the Night bonus against Oleksiejczuk. His momentum score of 13 is the lowest on either card. His striking (5.75) gives him more finishing potential than Tavares, and his 66.7% finish rate means he can still end fights.

Key angles

Tavares one win from surpassing Bisping's all-time middleweight wins record

Both fighters on significant losing streaks β€” possible final fight for either

Identical composite ratings (35.6) β€” statistically the closest fight on the schedule

Both chins compromised (0 and 10) β€” finish potential despite veteran pacing

Risk flags

Barriault's superior power and finish rate could stop the record chase cold

Both fighters' declining form makes this genuinely unpredictable

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Tavares
Barriault
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
74"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tavares
Barriault
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
35.6
40.1
Performance Avg
41.9
29
Quality of Victory
45
49
Momentum Score
13
Tavares
Barriault
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Tavares
Barriault
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
β€”
β€”
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
Tavares
Barriault
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
29/34 fights
Chin rating based on
18/28 fights
Tavares
Barriault
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
49
13
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Upcoming
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R1
Tavares
Barriault
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
14
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tavares
Barriault
Striking2.4 / 5.8Volume8.1 / 3.4Grappling2.1 / 2.1Wrestling1.5 / 1.5Submission0.0 / 1.7Pressure2.6 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Tavares
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Barriault
Tavares
Attacking
263HEAD65BODY106LEGS434 landed
Absorbing
308HEAD58BODY61LEGS427 absorbed
Barriault
Attacking
363HEAD76BODY28LEGS467 landed
Absorbing
262HEAD94BODY29LEGS385 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the head (61% of attacks) β€” Barriault absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Barriault targets the head (78% of attacks) β€” Tavares absorbs 72% of strikes there

Tavares Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L2.8L4.5W2.4L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W6.9L2.9L4.5W4.5W7.4L2.8L5.3W5.6L6.6L5.6W4.9L6.3L2010-062014-012017-102023-042026-03
WinLossTrend

Barriault Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5L5.5L6.6L5.5W4.5W2.6L5.0W5.4L5.8W5.3W6.2L3.5L1.5L6.3W7.0L6.5L2019-052021-092023-032024-112026-02
WinLossTrend

Tavares Β· Last 5

Upcoming
Marc-Andre Barriault
UFC Fight Night Β· 2026-07
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos Β· 2026-03
L Β· KO Β· R3
Robert BryczekRating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho Β· 2025-09
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy Β· 2025-04
L Β· Dec Β· R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira Β· 2024-10

Barriault Β· Last 5

Upcoming
Brad Tavares
UFC Fight Night Β· 2026-07
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Michal OleksiejczukRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira Β· 2026-02
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder Β· 2025-07
W Β· KO Β· R1
Bruno SilvaRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena Β· 2025-05
L Β· KO Β· R1
Dustin StoltzfusRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi Β· 2024-11

News & Media

Brad Tavares Β· Marc-Andre Barriault
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