UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2026
Catchweight
VS
51%
Denis
49%
Pimblett
Win Probability
Benoit
Benoit Saint Denis
"God of War"
173
5'11"73" reachSouthpaw30 yrs4-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 71
Paddy
Paddy Pimblett
"The Baddy"
234
Pressure Fighter31 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'10"
CFR 69

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Denis

The lightweight division's most exciting European rivalry as unbeaten Saint Denis clashes with Pimblett in a co-main event that could define the next title challenger

The co-main event of UFC 329 pits two of Europe's brightest lightweight talents against each other in a fight that should be an all-out war. Benoit Saint Denis has been on a tear, winning four straight with finishes in each, while Paddy Pimblett enters coming off the biggest learning experience of his career — a decision loss to Justin Gaethje in a title fight. Saint Denis opens as the -170 favou…

Denis intel

Benoit Saint Denis (17-3, UFC 9-3) has won four straight fights with a 100% finish rate and a well-rounded game (CFR 70.9). His striking (7.06) and grappling (3.56) give him tools in every phase.

Pimblett intel

Paddy Pimblett (23-4, UFC 7-1) is coming off his first UFC loss — a unanimous decision to Justin Gaethje for the interim title. Before that, he dominated Michael Chandler. His CFR of 69.2 and balanced skillset (striking 4.61, grappling 4.11) make him competitive everywhere.

Key angles

BSD's finishing ability vs Pimblett's durability is the central clash

Pimblett's grappling could neutralise BSD's striking advantage

Both fighters have genuine finishing ability — this could end any time

The International Fight Week atmosphere will fuel both Europeans

Risk flags

Pimblett's chin of 98 means BSD may not be able to finish him

If Pimblett wrestle-controls the first two rounds, the scorecards become very difficult for BSD

Denis
Pimblett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
73"
30+
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Denis
Pimblett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
69.2
62.5
Performance Avg
63.1
54
Quality of Victory
47
91
Momentum Score
85
Denis
Pimblett
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.7
1.4
60%
Strike Accuracy
52%
7.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Denis
Pimblett
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.1
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
Denis
Pimblett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
9/27 fights
Denis
Pimblett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
85
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Denis
Pimblett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
71%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Denis
Pimblett
Striking7.1 / 4.6Volume1.5 / 4.0Grappling3.6 / 4.1Wrestling2.5 / 2.9Submission4.4 / 4.3Pressure9.3 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
9.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
1.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Denis
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Pimblett
Denis
Attacking
171HEAD64BODY27LEGS262 landed
Absorbing
69HEAD27BODY15LEGS111 absorbed
Pimblett
Attacking
100HEAD14BODY25LEGS139 landed
Absorbing
61HEAD31BODY20LEGS112 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Denis targets the head (65% of attacks) — Pimblett absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Pimblett targets the head (72% of attacks) — Denis absorbs 62% of strikes there

Denis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0106.0L5.2W5.7W5.4W5.5W5.2W3.4L5.1L5.2W6.9W6.0W6.1W2021-102023-072024-032025-092026-01
WinLossTrend

Pimblett · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W5.0W6.7W4.9W5.0W5.7W6.0W7.1L2021-092022-072023-122025-042026-01
WinLossTrend

Denis · Last 5

Upcoming
Paddy Pimblett
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R2
Mauricio RuffyRating 6.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Kyle PrepolecRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05

Pimblett · Last 5

Upcoming
Benoit Saint Denis
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R3
Michael ChandlerRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
King GreenRating 5.7
Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonRating 5
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

News & Media

Benoit Saint Denis · Paddy Pimblett
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