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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
Los Angeles, USA
19 Sept 2026
Women's Flyweight
VS
53%
O'Neill
47%
Moura
Win Probability
Casey
Casey O'Neill
"King"
112
5'6"69" reachOrthodox28 yrs2-fight win streakStriker
CFR 59
Eduarda
Eduarda Moura
"Ronda"
122
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"
CFR 51
O'Neill
Casey
O'Neill
To Win
1.56
9/16
Best · BetOnline.ag
-11.1% EDGE
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4 books quoted
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Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: O'Neill

A first-round knockout artist who fights roughly once a year against an opponent with a 96 chin rating who has never been stopped.

Casey O'Neill has fought five times in four and a half years by this record, and each appearance has come after a gap long enough that the previous one barely informs it. That is the first thing to understand about her 58.5 composite: it is built on real evidence, but the evidence is spread thin across time. What that evidence says is encouraging. She knocked out Gabriella Fernandes in the first …

O'Neill intel

O'Neill (11-2) knocked out Gabriella Fernandes in the first round in March 2026 and outpointed Luana Santos in August 2024, with losses to Ariane da Silva by submission and Jennifer Maia on the cards before that. Long gaps between appearances are the pattern; her 44.2 quality-of-victory is the higher figure here.

Moura intel

Moura (12-2) lost a decision to Wang Cong in February 2026 after beating Lauren Murphy and Veronica Hardy on the cards. Four of her last five went to the judges and her 0.33 finish rate reflects it. A 96.0 chin rating and a 35.0 quality-of-victory — durable, and not yet tested against this calibre.

Key angles

O'Neill's 6.50 striking against a 96.0 chin rating that has never been cracked

A 6.53 volume score against 4.17 — Moura's route to the cards

O'Neill's long layoffs: five recorded fights across four and a half years, nineteen months of it between the last two

Five centimetres of reach and a 6.92 pressure rating against 4.13

Moura's 35.0 quality-of-victory against O'Neill's 44.2 — a step up in opposition

Risk flags

If O'Neill cannot finish early, Moura's volume wins three close rounds without much drama

O'Neill's activity pattern makes her ratings the less reliable of the two; the March knockout is her only recent evidence

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O'Neill
Moura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
67"
28+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
O'Neill
Moura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.5
51.1
56.5
Performance Avg
45.0
44
Quality of Victory
35
58
Momentum Score
64
O'Neill
Moura
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
6.5
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
4.1
4.2
Style: Volume
6.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
O'Neill
Moura
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
O'Neill
Moura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Strikes absorbed / min
9/13 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
O'Neill
Moura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
64
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
O'Neill
Moura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

O'Neill
Moura
Striking6.5 / 4.5Volume4.2 / 6.5Grappling2.1 / 1.6Wrestling1.5 / 1.1Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure6.9 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
O'Neill
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Moura
O'Neill
Attacking
201HEAD29BODY17LEGS247 landed
Absorbing
119HEAD26BODY6LEGS151 absorbed
Moura
Attacking
63HEAD6BODY3LEGS72 landed
Absorbing
39HEAD16BODY21LEGS76 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯O'Neill targets the head (81% of attacks) — Moura absorbs 51% of strikes there
🎯Moura targets the head (88% of attacks) — O'Neill absorbs 79% of strikes there

O'Neill · Last 5

Upcoming
Eduarda Moura
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
W · KO · R1
Gabriella Fernandes
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Luana Santos
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R2
Ariane da Silva
Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer Maia
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

Moura · Last 5

Upcoming
Casey O'Neill
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Wang Cong
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lauren Murphy
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Veronica Hardy
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Denise Gomes
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

News & Media

Casey O'Neill · Eduarda Moura
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Moura
Eduarda
Moura
To Win
2.50
3/2
Best · BetOnline.ag
+7.0% EDGE
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4 books quoted
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