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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Edmonton, Canada
17 Oct 2026
Heavyweight
VS
48%
Boser
52%
Diniz
Win Probability
Tanner
Tanner Boser
"The Bulldozer"
2211
6'2"75" reachOrthodox35 yrsStriker
CFR 47
Jhonata
Jhonata Diniz
92
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'4"
CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Diniz

A heavyweight with the higher striking score and a 48 chin against a taller, longer Brazilian who throws far more and rates 76 for chin against 48.

Tanner Boser is the better striker in this fight by the model's reckoning — 6.91 against 4.53 — and that single fact is the whole of his case, because almost every other line runs against him. Boser is 22-11-1 and 35, and the schedule tells its own story. He was knocked out by Gokhan Saricam in the second round in April, his first recorded fight since a decision win over Aleksa Camur in August 20…

Boser intel

Boser (22-11-1) was knocked out by Gokhan Saricam in the second round in April, in his first recorded appearance since August 2023. His last five contains two wins, a decision over Aleksa Camur and a second-round knockout of Ovince Saint Preux in 2021. A 6.91 striking score is the best number he owns; a 48.0 chin rating is the worst.

Diniz intel

Diniz (9-2) lost by second-round knockout to Mario Pinto in October 2025, having beaten Alvin Hines and Karl Williams on the cards and stopped Austen Lane in the second round in April 2024. At 193.0cm with 200.7cm of reach he is the bigger man, and his 0.33 finish rate says he tends to win by accumulation rather than a single shot.

Key angles

Ten centimetres of reach for Diniz, 200.7cm against 190.5cm, at heavyweight

Boser's 6.91 striking against 4.53 — the only category where he clearly leads

A near-three-year gap in Boser's record between August 2023 and April 2026

Both men knocked out in their most recent fight, with chin ratings of 48.0 and 76.0

Diniz's 6.53 volume against Boser's 4.11 across fifteen minutes

Risk flags

Boser's 0.6 finish rate is nearly double Diniz's 0.33 — he only needs one connection inside the reach

Diniz was stopped by Mario Pinto in October and a 76.0 chin rating is not proof against heavy hands

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Boser
Diniz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+79"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Boser
Diniz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.4
51.5
44.6
Performance Avg
45.0
44
Quality of Victory
35
52
Momentum Score
74
Boser
Diniz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
6.9
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
4.1
4.1
Style: Volume
6.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Boser
Diniz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Boser
Diniz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
12/33 fights
Chin rating based on
6/11 fights
Boser
Diniz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
74
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
W · Dec · R3
Boser
Diniz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Boser
Diniz
Striking6.9 / 4.5Volume4.1 / 6.5Grappling1.0 / 1.6Wrestling0.7 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Boser
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Diniz
Boser
Attacking
111HEAD35BODY78LEGS224 landed
Absorbing
119HEAD35BODY24LEGS178 absorbed
Diniz
Attacking
63HEAD7BODY7LEGS77 landed
Absorbing
88HEAD12BODY7LEGS107 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Boser targets the head (50% of attacks) — Diniz absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Diniz targets the head (82% of attacks) — Boser absorbs 67% of strikes there

Boser · Last 5

Upcoming
Jhonata Diniz
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10
L · KO · R2
Gokhan Saricam
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Aleksa Camur
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Ion Cutelaba
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo Nascimento
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09

Diniz · Last 5

Upcoming
Tanner Boser
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10
L · KO · R2
Mario Pinto
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Alvin Hines
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · R2
Marcin Tybura
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Karl Williams
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

News & Media

Tanner Boser · Jhonata Diniz
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