METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
Baku, Azerbaijan
27 Jun 2026
Catchweight
VS
52%
Almakhan
48%
Matsumoto
Win Probability
Bekzat
Bekzat Almakhan
"The Turan Warrior"
123
5'7"68" reachOrthodox28 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 57
Jean
Jean Matsumoto
172
Well-Rounded26 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Almakhan

Almakhan's narrow CFR edge over Matsumoto makes this the closest fight on the Baku prelim card

Bekzat Almakhan (12-3) and Jean Matsumoto (17-2) represent a genuinely competitive welterweight contest. The CFR gap of 4.1 points is within noise margin, making this a fight defined by stylistic matchup rather than quality differential. Matsumoto's 17-2 record is impressive — a 17-fight win total at any level represents serious competence, and only two losses suggests he's been doing things righ…

Almakhan intel

Bekzat Almakhan is 12-3 with a CFR of 56.5. The Kazakh welterweight brings a solid all-round game and a marginal statistical edge that probably reflects real — if slim — quality advantage.

Matsumoto intel

Jean Matsumoto is 17-2 with a CFR of 52.4. The Brazilian's near-spotless record suggests genuine quality, and his two losses don't represent a pattern of failure against this tier of opposition.

Key angles

Almakhan's wrestling vs Matsumoto's comprehensive striking game

17-2 record for Matsumoto is a flag — he's been excellent against most opponents he's faced

Which fighter is more adaptable mid-fight?

Risk flags

Matsumoto's high win rate makes him a credible favourite by record; CFR says otherwise but only marginally

A wrestling-based game plan from Almakhan could struggle if Matsumoto's takedown defence is sharp

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Almakhan
Matsumoto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
68"
28
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Almakhan
Matsumoto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.5
52.4
49.3
Performance Avg
43.9
60
Quality of Victory
33
43
Momentum Score
75
Almakhan
Matsumoto
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.9
35%
Strike Accuracy
43%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Almakhan
Matsumoto
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Almakhan
Matsumoto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Strikes absorbed / min
4/15 fights
Chin rating based on
6/19 fights
Almakhan
Matsumoto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
75
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Almakhan
Matsumoto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Almakhan
Matsumoto
Striking10.0 / 1.2Volume0.7 / 6.5Grappling0.0 / 4.3Wrestling0.0 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure8.0 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Almakhan
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Matsumoto
Almakhan
Attacking
19HEAD4BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
36HEAD0BODY2LEGS38 absorbed
Matsumoto
Attacking
97HEAD27BODY35LEGS159 landed
Absorbing
107HEAD18BODY1LEGS126 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Almakhan targets the head (83% of attacks) — Matsumoto absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Matsumoto targets the head (61% of attacks) — Almakhan absorbs 95% of strikes there

Almakhan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.3
0106.8L5.4W6.8L2024-032025-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Matsumoto · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.2W4.9W6.7L4.5W7.0L2024-042024-102025-022025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Almakhan · Last 4

Upcoming
Jean Matsumoto
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandre TopuriaRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Brad KatonaRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

Matsumoto · Last 5

Upcoming
Bekzat Almakhan
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Rob FontRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Brad KatonaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

News & Media

Bekzat Almakhan · Jean Matsumoto
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