Deiveson Figueiredo vs Payton Talbott — UFC Prediction, Odds & Win Probability

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang

Salt Lake City, USA

3 Oct 2026

Bantamweight

45%

Figueiredo

55%

Talbott

Win Probability

Deiveson Figueiredo

"Deus da Guerra"

25 – 6

5'5"68" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 54

Payton Talbott

11 – 1

Well-Rounded2-fight win streak28 yrsSwitch70" reach5'10"

CFR 66

Deiveson

Figueiredo

6 books quoted

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Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Talbott

A former champion with a chin rating of 46 and one win in his last five, against a 28-year-old who just outpointed Henry Cejudo.

Deiveson Figueiredo has been a champion, has fought five rounds with Petr Yan, and has a 49.8 quality-of-victory that no bantamweight on this card can match. He has also lost four of his last five, and the two that ended early are the ones that matter here. Cory Sandhagen stopped him in the second round in May 2025. Song Yadong submitted him in the second in May of this year. In between, Umar Nur…

Figueiredo intel

Figueiredo (25-6-1) has won one of his last five: a decision over Montel Jackson in October 2025, either side of losses to Petr Yan, Cory Sandhagen by second-round TKO, Umar Nurmagomedov and Song Yadong by second-round submission in May. At 38, with 21 recorded UFC fights, his 49.8 quality-of-victory is the best number he brings and his 46.0 chin rating the worst.

Talbott intel

Talbott (11-1) has won three straight since a January 2025 decision loss to Raoni Barcelos, the most recent a decision over Henry Cejudo at UFC 323 in December. Two of his last five ended inside 21 seconds of the round they finished in. He is 28, with six recorded UFC fights, a 98.0 chin rating and 85.5 momentum.

Key angles

Figueiredo's 46.0 chin rating after stoppage losses to Cory Sandhagen and Song Yadong

Talbott's 12.7cm height and 5.1cm reach edge on a former flyweight champion

Whether Figueiredo can convert his 3.31 grappling advantage before the striking exchanges accumulate

Talbott's only defeat came to a grappler, Raoni Barcelos, in January 2025

An age gap of nearly eleven years between a 38-year-old with 21 UFC fights and a 28-year-old with six

Risk flags

Figueiredo's 49.8 quality-of-victory is far above Talbott's 42.0 — he has beaten a better class of opponent and knows how to win a championship-level round

Talbott's takedown defence is the untested part of his game, and Figueiredo's 2.86 submission rating is real

Figueiredo's 0.57 finish rate means one clean right hand still ends this regardless of the ratings

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Figueiredo

Talbott

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'5"

Height

+5'10"

68"

Reach

+70"

Age

+28

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

Figueiredo

Talbott

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

54.3

65.5

56.0

Performance Avg

58.5

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Figueiredo

Talbott

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

4.2

/ 10

5.7

/ 10

6.0

Style: Pressure

6.7

4.8

Style: Volume

4.9

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Figueiredo

Talbott

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

3.3

/ 10

2.6

/ 10

2.3

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.8

2.9

Submission Style (/10)

2.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Figueiredo

Talbott

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

4 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

23/31 fights

Chin rating based on

7/12 fights

Figueiredo

Talbott

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Upcoming

L · Sub · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

Last 5

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

Figueiredo

Talbott

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

57%

60%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Figueiredo

Talbott

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.7

3.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.6

2.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.8

2.9

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.0

6.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.7

4.8

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.9

Figueiredo

Strike Zones

Career patterns

Talbott

Figueiredo

Attacking

261 landed

Absorbing

300 absorbed

Talbott

Attacking

135 landed

Absorbing

66 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Figueiredo targets the head (71% of attacks) — Talbott absorbs 80% of strikes there

🎯Talbott targets the head (76% of attacks) — Figueiredo absorbs 60% of strikes there

Figueiredo · Last 5

Upcoming

Payton Talbott

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10

L · Sub · R2

Song Yadong

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05

L · Dec · R3

Umar Nurmagomedov

Decision

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01

W · Dec · R3

Montel Jackson

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10

L · KO · R2

Cory Sandhagen

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05

Talbott · Last 5

Upcoming

Deiveson Figueiredo

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10

W · Dec · R3

Henry Cejudo

Decision

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12

W · Dec · R3

Felipe Lima

Decision

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06

L · Dec · R3

Raoni Barcelos

Decision

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

W · KO · R1

Yanis Ghemmouri

KO/TKO

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

News & Media

Deiveson Figueiredo · Payton Talbott

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Payton

Talbott

6 books quoted

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