Muslim Salikhov vs Jake Matthews — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo

Macau, China

30 May 2026

Catchweight

50%

Salikhov

50%

Matthews

Win Probability

U-DEC

Round 3 · 5:00

Muslim Salikhov

"King of Kung Fu"

22 – 6

5'11"70" reachOrthodox42 yrsStriker

CFR 55

Jake Matthews

"The Celtic Kid"

22 – 8

Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"

CFR 55

★ Official Result

Jake MatthewswinsU-DECR3 · 5:00

def. Muslim Salikhov · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Salikhov

Razor-close fight. Muslim Salikhov edges a split decision but don't be surprised…

→

Actual result

Matthews wins

U-DEC · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Muslim Salikhov and Jake Matthews collide in a matchup that could reshape division trajectories

When Muslim Salikhov (22-6) and Jake Matthews (22-8) step into the octagon at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, it will be a clash that tests where both fighters truly stand in the division pecking order. The stylistic clash is clear: Muslim Salikhov's striking advantage against Jake Matthews's grappling creates a classic striker-versus-grappler dynamic. The fighter who dictates where this fi…

Salikhov intel

Muslim Salikhov (22-6) carries a CFR of 54.5 with a 56% finish rate, chin rating of 20, and momentum score of 82.5.

Matthews intel

Jake Matthews (22-8) carries a CFR of 55.4 with a 47% finish rate, chin rating of 24, and momentum score of 100.0.

Key angles

Muslim Salikhov's striking volume advantage could be decisive if this stays standing

Jake Matthews's grappling edge creates a clear path to victory on the mat

Jake Matthews's superior momentum suggests better recent form and confidence

Durability concerns for Muslim Salikhov could be exploited by power shots

The fighter who controls distance and pace will have a significant advantage

Risk flags

Jake Matthews could spring an upset with superior game-planning or an early power shot

Salikhov

Matthews

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'11"

Height

5'11"

70"

Reach

+73"

Age

+31

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Salikhov

Matthews

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

54.5

55.4

51.4

Performance Avg

48.3

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Salikhov

Matthews

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.3

1.2

49%

Strike Accuracy

46%

6.8

Striking Style Score (/10)

2.0

5 KOs

KO Finishes

1 KOs

Salikhov

Matthews

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

—

Sub Attempts / fight

0.1

1.1

Grappling Style Score (/10)

4.3

0.8

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

3.0

Salikhov

Matthews

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.3 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

18 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

15/28 fights

Chin rating based on

24/30 fights

Salikhov

Matthews

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

Upcoming

L · KO · R1

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

Upcoming

L · Sub · R3

W · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

Salikhov

Matthews

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

56%

47%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Salikhov

Matthews

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

6.8

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

2.0

1.1

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.3

0.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.0

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

4.0

5.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.2

4.8

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.0

Salikhov

Strike Zones

Career patterns

Matthews

Salikhov

Attacking

175 landed

Absorbing

194 absorbed

Matthews

Attacking

324 landed

Absorbing

227 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Salikhov targets the head (51% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 63% of strikes there

🎯Matthews targets the head (78% of attacks) — Salikhov absorbs 56% of strikes there

Salikhov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5

WinLossTrend

Matthews · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9

WinLossTrend

Salikhov · Last 5

Upcoming

Jake Matthews

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05

L · KO · R1

Uros MedicRating 3.3

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11

W · KO · R1

Carlos LealRating 5.8

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07

W · KO · R1

Song KenanRating 5.4

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

W · Dec · R3

Santiago PonzinibbioRating 5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

Matthews · Last 5

Upcoming

Muslim Salikhov

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05

L · Sub · R3

Neil MagnyRating 4.6

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09

W · Sub · R1

Chidi NjokuaniRating 6.1

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07

W · Dec · R3

Francisco PradoRating 5.2

Decision

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02

W · Dec · R3

Phil RoweRating 5.6

Decision

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

News & Media

Muslim Salikhov · Jake Matthews

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