UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
Macau, China
30 May 2026
Catchweight
VS
50%
Salikhov
50%
Matthews
Win Probability
Muslim
Muslim Salikhov
"King of Kung Fu"
22 – 6
5'11"70" reachOrthodox41 yrsStriker
CFR 55
Jake
Jake Matthews
"The Celtic Kid"
22 – 8
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Salikhov

A battle of contrasting styles as Muslim Salikhov and Jake Matthews clash on the UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo card

Muslim Salikhov (22-6) meets Jake Matthews (22-8) in what promises to be a compelling matchup on the UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo card. The classic striker-vs-grappler dynamic defines this matchup, with Muslim Salikhov wanting to keep it standing and Jake Matthews looking to take it to the mat. This is a closely matched fight by the numbers, with both fighters carrying similar CFR ratings…

Salikhov intel

Muslim Salikhov (22-6) carries a CFR of 54.5 with a chin rating of 20 and momentum score of 82. Currently on strong form.

Matthews intel

Jake Matthews (22-8) carries a CFR of 55.4 with a chin rating of 24 and momentum score of 100. Currently on strong form.

Key angles

Muslim Salikhov's striking superiority should control the stand-up game

Jake Matthews's grappling advantage could dictate where this fight takes place

The medium confidence rating suggests a predictable outcome

The model gives Jake Matthews a 72.6% win probability

Risk flags

An off night or early adversity could shift the dynamic in Muslim Salikhov's favour

Salikhov
Matthews
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
70"
Reach
+73"
41
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Salikhov
Matthews
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.5
55.4
51.4
Performance Avg
48.3
43
Quality of Victory
37
83
Momentum Score
100
Salikhov
Matthews
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Salikhov
Matthews
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
Salikhov
Matthews
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
24
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
24/30 fights
Salikhov
Matthews
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
100
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Salikhov
Matthews
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
47%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
6
4
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Salikhov
Matthews
Striking6.8 / 2.0Volume4.8 / 5.0Grappling1.1 / 4.3Wrestling0.8 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 4.0Pressure5.8 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Salikhov
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Matthews
Salikhov
Attacking
89HEAD46BODY40LEGS175 landed
Absorbing
109HEAD55BODY30LEGS194 absorbed
Matthews
Attacking
253HEAD49BODY22LEGS324 landed
Absorbing
143HEAD42BODY42LEGS227 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Salikhov targets the head (51% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Matthews targets the head (78% of attacks) — Salikhov absorbs 56% of strikes there

Salikhov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L5.2W5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W3.5L5.5W5.8L2.4L5.0W5.4W5.8W3.3L2017-112020-072023-062025-072025-11
WinLossTrend

Matthews · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.2W1.5L4.2W5.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W5.3W5.0W4.0L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.1L5.2W6.0L6.0W7.6L5.6W5.2W6.1W4.6L2014-062016-112020-022023-112025-09
WinLossTrend

Salikhov · Last 5

Upcoming
Jake Matthews
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Carlos LealRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Song KenanRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

Matthews · Last 5

Upcoming
Muslim Salikhov
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Sub · R3
Neil MagnyRating 4.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Sub · R1
Chidi NjokuaniRating 6.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Phil RoweRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

News & Media

Muslim Salikhov · Jake Matthews
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