METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 330
Philadelphia, USA
15 Aug 2026
Welterweight
VS
53%
Makhachev
47%
Garry
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Makhachev
This is a genuine toss-up — Makhachev at 53% vs Garry at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Makhachev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Striking split: Garry throws more volume but Makhachev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
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Makhachev
Garry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
70"
Reach
+74"
34
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Makhachev
Garry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.5
64.8
69.8
Performance Avg
57.1
53
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
100
Makhachev
Garry
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
2.0
60%
Strike Accuracy
59%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Makhachev
Garry
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.6
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
4.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
8
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makhachev
Garry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
16 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/29 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Makhachev
Garry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
16-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Makhachev
Garry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
65%
30%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
8
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makhachev
Garry
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
MakhachevGarry
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Makhachev
Attacking
171 landedAbsorbing
100 absorbedGarry
Attacking
318 landedAbsorbing
159 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makhachev targets the head (81% of attacks) — Garry absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Garry targets the head (63% of attacks) — Makhachev absorbs 44% of strikes there
Makhachev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Garry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Makhachev · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 6Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoRating 5.8Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 6.8Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
Garry · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Carlos PratesRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R5
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 7.6Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 5.3Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Geoff NealRating 5.5Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02