Alexander Volkov vs Rizvan Kuniev — UFC Prediction, Odds & Win Probability

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

24 Oct 2026

Heavyweight

51%

Volkov

49%

Kuniev

Win Probability

Alexander Volkov

"Drago"

40 – 11

6'7"80" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 60

Rizvan Kuniev

13 – 3

Well-Rounded2-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'4"

CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Volkov

Both men beat Jailton Almeida on the cards within four months of each other. Now they meet, on Volkov's 38th birthday.

The shared opponent is Jailton Almeida, and it is unusually clean evidence. Volkov beat him over three rounds at UFC 321 in October 2025. Kuniev beat him over three rounds in February 2026, four months later, in the same manner. Two men, one very good grappler, two decisions. Whatever separates them, it is not the ability to keep a high-level Brazilian off the floor for fifteen minutes. What sepa…

Volkov intel

Volkov (40-11) has won two straight — decisions over Waldo Cortes-Acosta in May 2026 and Jailton Almeida in October 2025 — after losing to Ciryl Gane in December 2024. He fights on his 38th birthday. His 60.0 chin rating is the softest number he carries and the product of a fifty-one-fight career.

Kuniev intel

Kuniev (13-3-1) knocked out Tyrell Fortune in round three in July 2026 and beat Jailton Almeida on the cards in February. His 98.0 chin rating is near the top of the card. His one recent loss, to Curtis Blaydes in June 2025, came against wrestling — not something Volkov brings.

Key angles

Both men beat Jailton Almeida by decision within four months of each other

A ten-centimetre reach gap — 203.2cm to 193cm — and Volkov's whole game is built on it

Kuniev's 98.0 chin against Volkov's 60.0, in a fight almost certain to stay standing

Volkov turns 38 on the day of the fight, with fifty-one professional bouts behind him

Kuniev's only recent loss came to wrestling, which Volkov does not have

Risk flags

Three of Volkov's last four went to decision — if he cannot finish, he has to be perfect for fifteen minutes against a man who cannot be hurt

Heavyweight ratings are the least stable in the database; a three-point composite gap here means almost nothing

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Volkov

Kuniev

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'7"+

Height

6'4"

80"+

Reach

76"

Age

+34

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Volkov

Kuniev

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

60.2

57.1

54.7

Performance Avg

49.2

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Volkov

Kuniev

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

5.8

/ 10

6.3

/ 10

5.7

Style: Pressure

5.5

Style: Volume

5.3

6 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Volkov

Kuniev

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

1.8

/ 10

1.2

/ 10

1.2

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.8

0.7

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Volkov

Kuniev

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R3.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

15 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

20/51 fights

Chin rating based on

4/16 fights

Volkov

Kuniev

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

Upcoming

W · KO · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Volkov

Kuniev

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Volkov

Kuniev

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.8

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

6.3

1.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.2

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.8

0.7

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

5.7

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.3

Volkov

Strike Zones

Career patterns

Kuniev

Volkov

Attacking

427 landed

Absorbing

220 absorbed

Kuniev

Attacking

37 landed

Absorbing

48 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Volkov targets the head (64% of attacks) — Kuniev absorbs 54% of strikes there

🎯Kuniev targets the head (89% of attacks) — Volkov absorbs 62% of strikes there

Volkov · Last 5

Upcoming

Rizvan Kuniev

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10

W · Dec · R3

Waldo Cortes Acosta

Decision

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05

W · Dec · R3

Jailton Almeida

Decision

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10

L · Dec · R3

Ciryl Gane

Decision

UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12

W · Dec · R3

Sergei Pavlovich

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06

Kuniev · Last 4

Upcoming

Alexander Volkov

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10

W · KO · R3

Tyrell Fortune

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07

W · Dec · R3

Jailton Almeida

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02

L · Dec · R3

Curtis Blaydes

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06

News & Media

Alexander Volkov · Rizvan Kuniev

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