UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2026
Catchweight
VS
47%
Garbrandt
53%
Yanez
Win Probability
Cody
Cody Garbrandt
"No Love"
15 – 7
5'8"65" reachOrthodox34 yrsStriker
CFR 57
Adrian
Adrian Yanez
17 – 6
Knockout Artist32 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Yanez

Cody Garbrandt and Adrian Yanez clash on the UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 card

Cody Garbrandt (15-7) meets Adrian Yanez (17-6) in what promises to be a compelling matchup on the UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 card. This is a striking battle between two fighters who prefer to keep the fight standing. This is a closely matched fight by the numbers, with both fighters carrying similar CFR ratings. The model gives Adrian Yanez a 59.2% edge, but the low-confidence rating sugge…

Garbrandt intel

Cody Garbrandt (15-7) carries a CFR of 56.6 with a chin rating of 0 and momentum score of 97. Currently on strong form.

Yanez intel

Adrian Yanez (17-6) carries a CFR of 63.7 with a chin rating of 54 and momentum score of 84. Currently on strong form.

Key angles

Cody Garbrandt's chin vulnerability could be exploited

Adrian Yanez's high finish rate makes a stoppage likely

The low confidence rating suggests a close fight

The model gives Adrian Yanez a 59.2% win probability

Risk flags

This is a close fight — Cody Garbrandt has a legitimate path to victory

Garbrandt
Yanez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
65"
Reach
+70"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Garbrandt
Yanez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.6
63.7
51.6
Performance Avg
57.7
47
Quality of Victory
52
97
Momentum Score
84
Garbrandt
Yanez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
46%
7.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Garbrandt
Yanez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
Garbrandt
Yanez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/22 fights
Chin rating based on
11/23 fights
Garbrandt
Yanez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
84
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Garbrandt
Yanez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
83%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Garbrandt
Yanez
Striking7.2 / 9.7Volume4.4 / 2.7Grappling1.0 / 0.4Wrestling0.7 / 0.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.0 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.7
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
Garbrandt
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Yanez
Garbrandt
Attacking
177HEAD27BODY24LEGS228 landed
Absorbing
201HEAD39BODY48LEGS288 absorbed
Yanez
Attacking
201HEAD24BODY28LEGS253 landed
Absorbing
115HEAD43BODY28LEGS186 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Garbrandt targets the head (78% of attacks) — Yanez absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Yanez targets the head (79% of attacks) — Garbrandt absorbs 70% of strikes there

Garbrandt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.2L1.6L2.0L5.2W6.7L2.4L4.5W5.3W3.8L6.3L5.3W2015-012016-122021-052025-062026-03
WinLossTrend

Yanez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.5W5.2W5.3W5.0W2.7L3.3L5.0W6.8L2020-102021-112023-102024-12
WinLossTrend

Garbrandt · Last 5

Upcoming
Adrian Yanez
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Xiao LongRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8
Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Brian KelleherRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Yanez · Last 5

Upcoming
Cody Garbrandt
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
Upcoming
Ricky Simon
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Vinicius SalvadorRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10

News & Media

Cody Garbrandt · Adrian Yanez
← Back to fights