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UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2026
Catchweight
VS
47%
Garbrandt
53%
Yanez
Win Probability
Cody
Cody Garbrandt
"No Love"
15 – 7
5'8"65" reachOrthodox35 yrsStriker
CFR 57
Adrian
Adrian Yanez
17 – 6
Knockout Artist32 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis Β· live news & data

Edge: Yanez

Two explosive bantamweight boxers with knockout power and questionable chins β€” this is the sleeper 'Fight of the Night' candidate.

On paper, this is the most explosive fight on the UFC 329 prelims. Two bantamweights who throw with bad intentions, both carrying genuine knockout power, both with histories of dramatic finishes on both sides of the ledger. Cody Garbrandt's career arc has been one of the most dramatic in UFC history. The former bantamweight champion looked like an all-time great when he dismantled Dominick Cruz i…

Garbrandt intel

Garbrandt is 15-7, the former bantamweight champion making a late-career push. Won his last fight via decision over Xiao Long in March. At 35, he's fighting with more discipline than his wild earlier years. But the chin β€” devastated by knockouts to Pedro Munhoz, Rob Font, and Kai Kara-France β€” remains the overriding concern.

Yanez intel

Yanez is 17-6-1, looking for his first win since May 2024 after a draw with Simon in March. At 32, he's an aggressive pressure boxer with genuine power. Says he has 'a point to prove' and expects a 'war.' His volume output and finishing instinct make him dangerous but his recent form has stalled.

Key angles

Both fighters are elite strikers who prefer to stand and trade β€” guaranteed action

Garbrandt's 0.0 chin rating vs Yanez's 54.0 is the defining disparity

Garbrandt's counter-timing vs Yanez's volume and pressure

Both fighters need a win β€” Garbrandt for his legacy, Yanez to end a winless drought

Sleeper 'Fight of the Night' candidate on the prelims

Risk flags

Garbrandt has shown recent discipline β€” if he fights patient and counter-strikes, his timing could catch Yanez coming in

Garbrandt's chin concerns may be overstated at 135 where he's not facing the same power as the 125-pounders who knocked him out

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Garbrandt
Yanez
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
65"
Reach
+70"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Garbrandt
Yanez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.6
63.7
51.6
Performance Avg
57.7
47
Quality of Victory
52
97
Momentum Score
84
Garbrandt
Yanez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
46%
7.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Garbrandt
Yanez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
β€”
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
Garbrandt
Yanez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
18/22 fights
Chin rating based on
11/23 fights
Garbrandt
Yanez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
97
84
Upcoming
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
Upcoming
Upcoming
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R2
Garbrandt
Yanez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
83%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Garbrandt
Yanez
Striking7.2 / 9.7Volume4.4 / 2.7Grappling1.0 / 0.4Wrestling0.7 / 0.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.0 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.7
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
Garbrandt
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Yanez
Garbrandt
Attacking
177HEAD27BODY24LEGS228 landed
Absorbing
201HEAD39BODY48LEGS288 absorbed
Yanez
Attacking
201HEAD24BODY28LEGS253 landed
Absorbing
115HEAD43BODY28LEGS186 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Garbrandt targets the head (78% of attacks) β€” Yanez absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Yanez targets the head (79% of attacks) β€” Garbrandt absorbs 70% of strikes there

Garbrandt Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.2L1.6L2.0L5.2W6.7L2.4L4.5W5.3W3.8L6.3L5.3W2015-012016-122021-052025-062026-03
WinLossTrend

Yanez Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.5W5.2W5.3W5.0W2.7L3.3L5.0W6.8L2020-102021-112023-102024-12
WinLossTrend

Garbrandt Β· Last 5

Upcoming
Adrian Yanez
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 Β· 2026-07
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Xiao LongRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Β· 2026-03
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley Β· 2025-06
L Β· Sub Β· R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8
Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill Β· 2024-04
W Β· KO Β· R1
Brian KelleherRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington Β· 2023-12

Yanez Β· Last 5

Upcoming
Cody Garbrandt
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 Β· 2026-07
Upcoming
Ricky Simon
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer Β· 2026-03
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Daniel MarcosRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley Β· 2024-12
W Β· KO Β· R1
Vinicius SalvadorRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy Β· 2024-05
L Β· KO Β· R2
Jonathan MartinezRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza Β· 2023-10

News & Media

Cody Garbrandt Β· Adrian Yanez
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