UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2026
Catchweight
VS
38%
Cutelaba
62%
Stirling
Win Probability
Ion
Ion Cutelaba
"The Hulk"
20 – 11
6'1"75" reachSouthpaw32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Navajo
Navajo Stirling
9 – 0
Well-Rounded4-fight win streak28 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'4"
CFR 66

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Stirling

Ion Cutelaba and Navajo Stirling clash on the UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi card

Ion Cutelaba (20-11) meets Navajo Stirling (9-0) in what promises to be a compelling matchup on the UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi card. Both fighters bring well-rounded skillsets that should produce a technically interesting contest. The CFR gap tells a clear story — Navajo Stirling's rating significantly outpaces Ion Cutelaba's, suggesting a meaningful talent disparity. The model gives the…

Cutelaba intel

Ion Cutelaba (20-11) carries a CFR of 40.5 with a chin rating of 0 and momentum score of 26. Has been struggling in recent outings.

Stirling intel

Navajo Stirling (9-0) carries a CFR of 65.7 with a chin rating of 100 and momentum score of 100. Currently on strong form.

Key angles

Navajo Stirling's superior CFR rating indicates an overall talent advantage

Ion Cutelaba's chin vulnerability could be exploited

Navajo Stirling's momentum advantage reflects superior recent form

Risk flags

Ion Cutelaba's finishing ability means one clean shot could change everything

Cutelaba
Stirling
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+79"
32
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cutelaba
Stirling
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.5
65.7
47.1
Performance Avg
59.5
47
Quality of Victory
33
26
Momentum Score
100
Cutelaba
Stirling
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Cutelaba
Stirling
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cutelaba
Stirling
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/31 fights
Chin rating based on
5/9 fights
Cutelaba
Stirling
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
100
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cutelaba
Stirling
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
25%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cutelaba
Stirling
Striking5.4 / 4.5Volume3.6 / 8.0Grappling2.6 / 1.8Wrestling1.8 / 1.3Submission2.2 / 0.0Pressure6.1 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
Cutelaba
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Stirling
Cutelaba
Attacking
210HEAD45BODY31LEGS286 landed
Absorbing
193HEAD23BODY18LEGS234 absorbed
Stirling
Attacking
102HEAD46BODY16LEGS164 landed
Absorbing
35HEAD13BODY11LEGS59 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cutelaba targets the head (73% of attacks) — Stirling absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Stirling targets the head (62% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 82% of strikes there

Cutelaba · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L4.5W6.5L5.0W5.0W3.1L5.9W3.0L3.0L4.5W1.9L2.3L4.0L5.6W6.2L4.5W5.9W6.3L6.0W2016-062019-042022-052024-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Stirling · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W4.5W6.2W5.2W2024-122025-052025-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Cutelaba · Last 5

Upcoming
Navajo Stirling
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Oumar SyRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Ibo AslanRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

Stirling · Last 5

Upcoming
Ion Cutelaba
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Bruno LopesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Rodolfo BellatoRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Tuco TokkosRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12

News & Media

Ion Cutelaba · Navajo Stirling
← Back to fights