METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2026
Catchweight
VS
38%
Cutelaba
62%
Stirling
Win Probability
Ion
Ion Cutelaba
"The Hulk"
2011
6'1"75" reachSouthpaw32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Navajo
Navajo Stirling
90
Well-Rounded4-fight win streak28 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'4"
CFR 66

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Stirling

The Hulk's infamous durability issues meet an unbeaten prospect who hasn't been tested yet.

Ion Cutelaba has always been an entertainer — a heavy-handed Moldovan who can crack with either hand and has a 67% finish rate across a UFC career marked by wild swings of performance. The problem, and it has been his undiscriminating Achilles heel, is a chin rating of 0.0 — the model's way of flagging that he has been stopped so frequently that durability can no longer be assumed. Navajo Stirlin…

Cutelaba intel

Cutelaba at his best is a dangerous first-round fighter, but his chin issues have ended multiple fights prematurely. Any sustained head contact could be a problem.

Stirling intel

Stirling is 9-0 with perfect momentum and an iron chin. This is his moment to make a name at UFC level and he arrives well-prepared.

Key angles

First clean head shot landed on Cutelaba could end the night

Stirling's ability to maintain composure in his first high-pressure UFC slot

Risk flags

Cutelaba's power is genuine — one overhand could short-circuit anyone

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Cutelaba
Stirling
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+79"
32
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cutelaba
Stirling
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.5
65.7
47.1
Performance Avg
59.5
47
Quality of Victory
33
26
Momentum Score
100
Cutelaba
Stirling
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Cutelaba
Stirling
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cutelaba
Stirling
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
21/31 fights
Chin rating based on
5/9 fights
Cutelaba
Stirling
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
100
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cutelaba
Stirling
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
25%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cutelaba
Stirling
Striking5.4 / 4.5Volume3.6 / 8.0Grappling2.6 / 1.8Wrestling1.8 / 1.3Submission2.2 / 0.0Pressure6.1 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
Cutelaba
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Stirling
Cutelaba
Attacking
210HEAD45BODY31LEGS286 landed
Absorbing
193HEAD23BODY18LEGS234 absorbed
Stirling
Attacking
102HEAD46BODY16LEGS164 landed
Absorbing
35HEAD13BODY11LEGS59 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cutelaba targets the head (73% of attacks) — Stirling absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Stirling targets the head (62% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 82% of strikes there

Cutelaba · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L4.5W6.5L5.0W5.0W3.1L5.9W3.0L3.0L4.5W1.9L2.3L4.0L5.6W6.2L4.5W5.9W6.3L6.0W2016-062019-042022-052024-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Stirling · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W4.5W6.2W5.2W2024-122025-052025-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Cutelaba · Last 5

Upcoming
Navajo Stirling
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Oumar SyRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Ibo AslanRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

Stirling · Last 5

Upcoming
Ion Cutelaba
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Bruno LopesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Rodolfo BellatoRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Tuco TokkosRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12

News & Media

Ion Cutelaba · Navajo Stirling
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