Brendan Allen vs Edmen Shahbazyan — UFC Prediction, Odds & Win Probability

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim

Las Vegas, USA

6 Jun 2026

Catchweight

49%

Allen

51%

Shahbazyan

Win Probability

Brendan Allen

"All In"

26 – 7

6'2"75" reachOrthodox30 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 62

Edmen Shahbazyan

"The Golden Boy"

16 – 5

Knockout Artist3-fight win streak28 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"

CFR 63

Brendan

Allen

4 books quoted

18+ · BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Shahbazyan

The prodigal prospect returns — Shahbazyan's three-fight resurrection meets Allen's grappling machine at 185.

Edmen Shahbazyan was supposed to be the next great thing at middleweight. He burst onto the scene with five first-round finishes, earned a feature fight against Paulo Costa at just 22, and looked destined for the title. Then Derek Brunson stopped him in three, Robert Whittaker out-boxed him, and the 'Golden Boy' narrative curdled into a cautionary tale about overhyping prospects. The redemption a…

Allen intel

Allen just defeated Reinier de Ridder to extend his ranking to #6 at middleweight and is openly frustrated at receiving an unranked opponent rather than a top-five fight. His submission wrestling is elite and he has been specifically drilling takedown chains to neutralise Shahbazyan's boxing range. No injury news.

Shahbazyan intel

Shahbazyan is on a legitimate three-fight win streak after his rocky mid-career dip, and the Muniz KO showed he can still end fights at any moment. His chin has historically been a concern — our model gives him a 20 chin rating — which becomes relevant if Allen can drag him into exhausting scrambles and grind him down.

Key angles

Can Shahbazyan keep the fight standing for enough time to accumulate meaningful striking damage?

Allen's takedown entries against a boxer known for punishing shots on the way in

Shahbazyan's historically poor bottom game against one of the division's best submission artists

Allen's conditioning advantage in the later rounds if Shahbazyan expends energy escaping early

A Shahbazyan upset via early KO is the single most realistic scenario for the underdog

Risk flags

Allen walks into punches — Shahbazyan has the power and timing to catch him on a rushed takedown attempt

If Shahbazyan can keep range and avoid the clinch, he outboxes Allen over 15 minutes

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Allen

Shahbazyan

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"

Height

6'2"

75"

Reach

75"

Age

+28

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Allen

Shahbazyan

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

61.8

63.1

56.8

Performance Avg

56.3

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Allen

Shahbazyan

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

1.3

1.6

53%

Strike Accuracy

48%

3.0

Striking Style Score (/10)

8.0

2 KOs

KO Finishes

6 KOs

Allen

Shahbazyan

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

—

0.4

Sub Attempts / fight

—

4.9

Grappling Style Score (/10)

1.4

3.4

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

1.0

Allen

Shahbazyan

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.7 stoppage

12 fights ago

Last KO loss

6 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

19/33 fights

Chin rating based on

15/21 fights

Allen

Shahbazyan

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

3-fight 🔥 win streak

Upcoming

W · KO · R4

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

Upcoming

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

L · Sub · R2

Allen

Shahbazyan

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

64%

78%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Allen

Shahbazyan

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

8.0

4.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.4

3.4

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.0

5.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.1

6.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.4

4.4

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.1

Allen

Strike Zones

Career patterns

Shahbazyan

Allen

Attacking

273 landed

Absorbing

283 absorbed

Shahbazyan

Attacking

190 landed

Absorbing

164 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Allen targets the head (72% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 77% of strikes there

🎯Shahbazyan targets the head (78% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 84% of strikes there

Allen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5

WinLossTrend

Shahbazyan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0

WinLossTrend

Allen · Last 5

Upcoming

Edmen Shahbazyan

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06

W · KO · R4

Reinier de RidderRating 6.4

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10

W · Dec · R3

Marvin VettoriRating 5.3

Decision

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07

L · Dec · R3

Anthony HernandezRating 6.9

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

L · Dec · R3

Nassourdine ImavovRating 6.9

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

Shahbazyan · Last 5

Upcoming

Brendan Allen

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06

W · KO · R1

Andre MunizRating 5.9

KO/TKO

UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10

W · Dec · R3

Andre PetroskiRating 5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

W · KO · R1

Dylan BudkaRating 5

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

L · Sub · R2

Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

News & Media

Brendan Allen · Edmen Shahbazyan

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Edmen

Shahbazyan

4 books quoted

18+ · BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG