Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas — UFC Prediction, Odds & Win Probability

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi

Las Vegas, USA

20 Jun 2026

Catchweight

74%

Lima

26%

Borjas

Win Probability

Andre Lima

"Mascote"

11 – 0

5'7"67" reachOrthodox27 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 65

Kevin Borjas

"El Gallo Negro"

10 – 5

Well-Rounded2-fight slide28 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'5"

CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Lima

A 11-0 grappling prospect faces a UFC debut showcase opponent with little to recommend him.

Andre Lima arrives at 11-0 with a perfect momentum score — a Brazilian grappler cutting his teeth against genuine UFC-level opposition. His grappling (3.2) and wrestling (2.24) are his calling cards, and he has been patient enough to work decisions when the finish isn't there. Borjas (10-5, CFR 22.3) is statistically one of the weakest opponents on this card, and the matchup reads as a confidence-…

Lima intel

Lima is 11-0 and trending upward. His grappling is his primary weapon and he uses it effectively to control and score without taking risks.

Borjas intel

Borjas has a limited ceiling and 0% finish rate. He is durable but unlikely to cause problems for a polished grappler.

Key angles

How quickly Lima can impose his grappling

Whether Borjas can show anything notable on the feet

Risk flags

Upsets do happen on debut cards when nerves play a role

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Lima

Borjas

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'7"+

Height

5'5"

67"

Reach

+68"

27+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Lima

Borjas

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

64.9

22.3

58.4

Performance Avg

23.0

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Lima

Borjas

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

0.7

1.1

55%

Strike Accuracy

43%

2.0

Striking Style Score (/10)

0.4

0 KOs

KO Finishes

0 KOs

Lima

Borjas

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

—

Sub Attempts / fight

0.2

3.2

Grappling Style Score (/10)

2.4

2.2

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

1.7

Lima

Borjas

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

100

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

5/11 fights

Chin rating based on

6/15 fights

Lima

Borjas

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

4-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

W · Sub · R3

W · Dec · R3

W · R2

Last 5

Upcoming

L · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

Lima

Borjas

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

25%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lima

Borjas

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

2.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.4

3.2

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.4

2.2

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.7

2.5

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

4.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

0.6

6.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

8.4

Lima

Strike Zones

Career patterns

Borjas

Lima

Attacking

42 landed

Absorbing

37 absorbed

Borjas

Attacking

85 landed

Absorbing

184 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Lima targets the head (38% of attacks) — Borjas absorbs 65% of strikes there

🎯Borjas targets the head (79% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 59% of strikes there

Lima · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7

WinLossTrend

Borjas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6

WinLossTrend

Lima · Last 5

Upcoming

Kevin Borjas

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

W · Sub · R3

Daniel BarezRating 5.5

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03

W · Dec · R3

Felipe dos SantosRating 4.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09

W · Dec · R3

Mitch RaposoRating 4.5

Decision

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

W · R2

Igor SeverinoRating 4.2

UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

Borjas · Last 5

Upcoming

Andre Lima

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

L · KO · R2

Imanol RodriguezRating 5

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

L · Dec · R3

SumudaerjiRating 6.1

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08

W · Dec · R3

Ronaldo RodriguezRating 5.7

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03

L · KO · R2

Alessandro CostaRating 4.1

KO/TKO

UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

News & Media

Andre Lima · Kevin Borjas

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