UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
Macau, China
30 May 2026
Catchweight
VS
50%
Pavlovich
50%
Teixeira
Win Probability
Sergei
Sergei Pavlovich
20 – 3
6'3"84" reachSouthpaw34 yrs2-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 60
Tallison
Tallison Teixeira
"Xicao"
9 – 1
Well-Rounded26 yrsOrthodox83" reach6'7"
CFR 60

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Pavlovich

Sergei Pavlovich and Tallison Teixeira clash on the UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo card

Sergei Pavlovich (20-3) meets Tallison Teixeira (9-1) in what promises to be a compelling matchup on the UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo card. This is a striking battle between two fighters who prefer to keep the fight standing. This is a closely matched fight by the numbers, with both fighters carrying similar CFR ratings. The model gives Tallison Teixeira a 68.4% edge, but the medium-confi…

Pavlovich intel

Sergei Pavlovich (20-3) carries a CFR of 59.8 with a chin rating of 54 and momentum score of 58. Recent results have been mixed.

Teixeira intel

Tallison Teixeira (9-1) carries a CFR of 59.8 with a chin rating of 78 and momentum score of 85. Currently on strong form.

Key angles

Sergei Pavlovich's chin vulnerability could be exploited

Sergei Pavlovich's high finish rate makes a stoppage likely

Tallison Teixeira's momentum advantage reflects superior recent form

Risk flags

Sergei Pavlovich's finishing ability means one clean shot could change everything

Pavlovich
Teixeira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'7"
84"+
Reach
83"
34
Age
+26
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Pavlovich
Teixeira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.8
59.8
60.6
Performance Avg
52.2
53
Quality of Victory
43
59
Momentum Score
85
Pavlovich
Teixeira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
0.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
65%
8.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Pavlovich
Teixeira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.6
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pavlovich
Teixeira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Pavlovich
Teixeira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
85
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Pavlovich
Teixeira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pavlovich
Teixeira
Striking8.9 / 6.3Volume3.5 / 5.3Grappling0.6 / 1.2Wrestling0.4 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.4 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Pavlovich
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Teixeira
Pavlovich
Attacking
176HEAD17BODY10LEGS203 landed
Absorbing
72HEAD20BODY34LEGS126 absorbed
Teixeira
Attacking
13HEAD9BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD8BODY3LEGS36 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pavlovich targets the head (87% of attacks) — Teixeira absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Teixeira targets the head (59% of attacks) — Pavlovich absorbs 57% of strikes there

Pavlovich · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0101.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W6.2W5.4W5.9W3.9L6.8L5.6W6.0W2018-112022-032023-042025-022025-08
WinLossTrend

Teixeira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.6W2.7L4.9W2025-022025-072026-01
WinLossTrend

Pavlovich · Last 5

Upcoming
Tallison Teixeira
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

Teixeira · Last 4

Upcoming
Sergei Pavlovich
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Justin TafaRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02

News & Media

Sergei Pavlovich · Tallison Teixeira
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