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UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
24 Oct 2026
Featherweight
VS
51%
Volkanovski
49%
Evloev
Win Probability
Alexander
Alexander Volkanovski
"The Great"
284
5'6"71" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 64
Movsar
Movsar Evloev
200
Well-Rounded10-fight win streak32 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'7"
CFR 61

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Volkanovski

The best featherweight of his generation, now 38 with a chin rating of 54, against an unbeaten grinder who has never once been hurt.

Alexander Volkanovski has spent seven years proving that the featherweight division's ceiling is wherever he decides to put it. Movsar Evloev has spent five years proving something duller and possibly more dangerous: that he does not lose, ever, to anyone, in any manner. Twenty fights, twenty wins, and a UFC record that contains no drama at all. The model's headline figures favour the champion. V…

Volkanovski intel

Volkanovski (28-4) has won his last two, both five-round decisions over Diego Lopes, in April 2025 and again at UFC 325 in January 2026. At 38 he is five years the elder, and his 44.2 quality-of-victory is the highest figure in this bout by a wide margin. The metric that flags hardest is his 54.0 chin rating, built on knockout losses to Islam Makhachev and Ilia Topuria within four months of each other.

Evloev intel

Evloev (20-0) is unbeaten as a professional and has taken all five of his most recent fights to the judges — Lerone Murphy over five rounds in March 2026, then Aljamain Sterling, Arnold Allen, Diego Lopes and Dan Ige. Perfect 100.0 ratings in chin, fade index and momentum. His 0.0 finish rate and 25.0 quality-of-victory are the two soft spots in an otherwise immaculate profile.

Key angles

Volkanovski's 54.0 chin rating at 37, against a man who has never been finished in twenty fights

Evloev's 10.0 volume score versus Volkanovski's 5.0 striking — output against precision over twenty-five minutes

Both men have beaten Diego Lopes on the cards; Evloev did it first, in 2023

A 44.2 to 25.0 quality-of-victory gap — Evloev's unbeaten run has not been built against this calibre

Evloev's 0.0 finish rate means Volkanovski will not be rescued by an early scare

Risk flags

Volkanovski's 5.0 striking and 0.33 finish rate mean he retains the only genuine stoppage threat in the fight; one clean exchange rewrites it

Evloev's 25.0 quality-of-victory is a real caveat — nobody on his record has the pedigree Volkanovski brings

Volkanovski's chin rating reflects two fights in a four-month window, one of them at lightweight against Makhachev; it may overstate present fragility

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Volkanovski
Evloev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
71"
Reach
+72"
37
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Volkanovski
Evloev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.0
60.8
59.8
Performance Avg
55.0
44
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
100
Volkanovski
Evloev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
5.0
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
3.0
7.0
Style: Volume
10.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkanovski
Evloev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkanovski
Evloev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
19/32 fights
Chin rating based on
11/20 fights
Volkanovski
Evloev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
10-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Volkanovski
Evloev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Volkanovski
Evloev
Striking5.0 / 2.0Volume7.0 / 10.0Grappling1.6 / 2.4Wrestling1.1 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 3.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
10.0
Volkanovski
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Evloev
Volkanovski
Attacking
405HEAD58BODY95LEGS558 landed
Absorbing
175HEAD65BODY31LEGS271 absorbed
Evloev
Attacking
176HEAD21BODY24LEGS221 landed
Absorbing
110HEAD38BODY13LEGS161 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Volkanovski targets the head (73% of attacks) — Evloev absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Evloev targets the head (80% of attacks) — Volkanovski absorbs 65% of strikes there

Volkanovski · Last 5

Upcoming
Movsar Evloev
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R5
Diego Lopes
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R5
Diego Lopes
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ilia Topuria
KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Islam Makhachev
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

Evloev · Last 5

Upcoming
Alexander Volkanovski
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R5
Lerone Murphy
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Aljamain Sterling
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Arnold Allen
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Diego Lopes
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

News & Media

Alexander Volkanovski · Movsar Evloev
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