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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Freedom 250
Washington, USA
14 Jun 2026
Catchweight
VS
59%
Nickal
41%
Daukaus
Win Probability
Bo
Bo Nickal
81
6'1"76" reachSouthpaw30 yrsPressure Fighter
CFR 68
Kyle
Kyle Daukaus
174
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak33 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'2"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Nickal

Nickal's redemption run continues — the wrestling prodigy looks to stay on the title path against a gritty veteran

Bo Nickal's UFC career split neatly into two chapters: the perfect prospect and the man who lost to Paul Craig and had to rebuild. The rebound — a spectacular high-kick KO of Rodolfo Vieira — was a statement about adaptability. Nickal was not supposed to be winning with his striking. Kyle Daukaus (17-4) is on a two-fight win streak and brings legitimate grappling credentials, but his composite rat…

Nickal intel

Nickal (8-1, CFR 68.4) is back on track after the Craig loss. His striking has improved meaningfully and his wrestling remains elite at middleweight.

Daukaus intel

Daukaus (17-4, CFR 47.7) is a capable grappler with legitimate finishing ability — a live underdog because of his mat skills but faces a significant overall quality gap.

Key angles

Nickal's level changes — his shooting entries are still elite

Daukaus's submission game from bottom position

Whether Nickal's striking improvement is enough to dominate on the feet

Risk flags

Daukaus's submission game is legitimate — carelessness from Nickal on top is dangerous

Nickal's one loss showed he can be submitted from unusual angles

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Nickal
Daukaus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
76"
Reach
76"
30+
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Nickal
Daukaus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.4
47.7
62.0
Performance Avg
49.0
48
Quality of Victory
48
89
Momentum Score
33
Nickal
Daukaus
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.0
56%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Nickal
Daukaus
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.7
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nickal
Daukaus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
52
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
7/9 fights
Chin rating based on
10/21 fights
Nickal
Daukaus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
33
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Nickal
Daukaus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nickal
Daukaus
Striking5.7 / 3.5Volume3.3 / 3.0Grappling3.7 / 4.6Wrestling2.6 / 3.2Submission4.0 / 5.0Pressure8.1 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Nickal
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Daukaus
Nickal
Attacking
25HEAD10BODY9LEGS44 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD15BODY6LEGS38 absorbed
Daukaus
Attacking
63HEAD9BODY9LEGS81 landed
Absorbing
57HEAD17BODY4LEGS78 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nickal targets the head (57% of attacks) — Daukaus absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Daukaus targets the head (78% of attacks) — Nickal absorbs 45% of strikes there

Nickal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.0W5.8W5.2W3.8L6.8W2023-032023-072024-042024-112025-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Daukaus · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0106.8L4.5W5.5L5.0W2.9L3.5L5.6W6.1W2020-062021-052022-062025-082025-11
WinLossTrend

Nickal · Last 5

Upcoming
Kyle Daukaus
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R3
Rodolfo VieiraRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Reinier de RidderRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Paul CraigRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R2
Cody BrundageRating 5.8
Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

Daukaus · Last 5

Upcoming
Bo Nickal
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Michel PereiraRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · KO · R2
Eryk AndersRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R1
Roman DolidzeRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06

News & Media

Bo Nickal · Kyle Daukaus
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