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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2026
Catchweight
VS
44%
Diniz
56%
Montanha
Win Probability
Jhonata
Jhonata Diniz
9 – 2
6'4"79" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 52
JM
Jose Montanha
6 – 1
29 yrs
CFR 66

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis Β· live news & data

Edge: Montanha

Two young light heavyweights with power and ambition collide in an early card slugfest.

Jose Montanha arrives with a 6-1 record and a CFR rating that suggests the model is impressed with the quality of his recent work despite limited data. Diniz (9-2) is the more experienced UFC hand, with momentum at 74 and a balanced striking game (style 4.53). Without deep stats on Montanha, this matchup comes down to whether the newcomer's raw talent can outpace Diniz's accumulated UFC experience…

Diniz intel

Diniz is solid and improving β€” a fighter who should be competitive at this level. His momentum suggests he's in good recent form.

Montanha intel

Montanha is new enough that the model operates on limited data, but his CFR of 65.6 is high for a fighter with six wins. He appears to be a high-ceiling prospect.

Key angles

Montanha's power versus Diniz's experience

Whether either fighter commits to a finishing attempt

Risk flags

Model data on Montanha is sparse β€” upsets are more likely when one fighter is less known to the system

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Diniz
Montanha
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'4"
Height
79"
Reach
35
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
β€”
Diniz
Montanha
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.5
β€”
45.0
Performance Avg
β€”
35
Quality of Victory
β€”
74
Momentum Score
β€”
Diniz
Montanha
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
β€”
60%
Strike Accuracy
β€”
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
β€”
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Diniz
Montanha
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
β€”
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
β€”
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
β€”
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diniz
Montanha
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
β€”
Moderate
Verdict
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
β€”
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
β€”
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
1/7 fights
Diniz
Montanha
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
74
β€”
Upcoming
L Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· R2
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
Upcoming
Diniz
Montanha
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
β€”
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Diniz
Montanha
Striking4.5 / 0.0Volume6.5 / 0.0Grappling1.6 / 0.0Wrestling1.1 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
β€”
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
β€”
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
β€”
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
β€”
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
β€”
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
β€”
Diniz
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Montanha
Diniz
Attacking
63HEAD7BODY7LEGS77 landed
Absorbing
88HEAD12BODY7LEGS107 absorbed

Diniz Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W5.0W5.1L4.5W4.7L2024-042024-082024-112025-062025-10
WinLossTrend

Diniz Β· Last 5

Upcoming
Jose Montanha
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi Β· 2026-06
L Β· KO Β· R2
Mario PintoRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot Β· 2025-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Alvin HinesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira Β· 2025-06
L Β· R2
Marcin TyburaRating 5.1
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic Β· 2024-11
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Karl WilliamsRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 Β· 2024-08

Montanha Β· Last 1

Upcoming
Jhonata Diniz
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi Β· 2026-06

News & Media

Jhonata Diniz Β· Jose Montanha
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