Giga Chikadze vs Joanderson Brito — UFC Prediction, Odds & Win Probability

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2

Los Angeles, USA

19 Sept 2026

Featherweight

45%

Chikadze

55%

Brito

Win Probability

Giga Chikadze

"Ninja"

15 – 6

6'0"74" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 54

Joanderson Brito

"Tubarao"

18 – 5

Well-Rounded2-fight win streak31 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'8"

CFR 68

Giga

Chikadze

5 books quoted

18+ · BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Brito

Giga Chikadze has lost three straight and fights this at 38; Joanderson Brito has a 94 chin rating and a submission game the Georgian has no answer to.

Giga Chikadze's problem is not that he has lost three in a row. It is how the third one ended. Kevin Vallejos knocked him out in the second round in December 2025, and for a striker whose whole proposition is that he is the more dangerous man standing, being finished on the feet at 38 changes the arithmetic. The run before it was attrition rather than damage — decisions lost to David Onama in Apr…

Chikadze intel

Chikadze (15-6) has lost three straight — knocked out by Kevin Vallejos in the second round in December 2025, outpointed by David Onama in April 2025 and Arnold Allen in July 2024. His last recorded win was over Alex Caceres in August 2023. A 38.1 quality-of-victory is the lowest figure here.

Brito intel

Brito (18-5-1) submitted Jordan Leavitt in the first round in June 2026 and beat Isaac Thomson on the cards in December 2025, after decision losses to Pat Sabatini and William Gomis. A 94.0 chin rating, 97.5 momentum score and 67.7 composite lead across the board.

Key angles

Chikadze's 0.0 submission score against a man who submitted Jordan Leavitt in round one

A 7.10 pressure rating against 4.62 — whether Chikadze can hold the distance he needs

Ten centimetres of height and five of reach for Chikadze, his only structural edge

The Vallejos knockout in December: the first time Chikadze's chin has failed in this sample

Brito lost two decisions in this same five-fight run, so he is not unbeatable on the cards

Risk flags

Chikadze's 6.33 volume against 2.54 wins rounds if Brito cannot close the distance

Brito has lost two of his last five by decision, both to fighters who stayed disciplined at range

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Chikadze

Brito

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'0"+

Height

5'8"

74"+

Reach

72"

Age

+31

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Chikadze

Brito

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

54.4

67.7

49.5

Performance Avg

56.3

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Chikadze

Brito

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

5.1

/ 10

4.3

/ 10

4.6

Style: Pressure

7.1

6.3

Style: Volume

2.5

3 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Chikadze

Brito

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

1.5

/ 10

3.8

/ 10

1.1

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.6

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

4.3

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Chikadze

Brito

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

13/21 fights

Chin rating based on

11/23 fights

Chikadze

Brito

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Upcoming

L · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

Upcoming

W · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Chikadze

Brito

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

38%

71%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chikadze

Brito

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.3

1.5

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.8

1.1

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.6

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

4.3

4.6

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.1

6.3

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.5

Chikadze

Strike Zones

Career patterns

Brito

Chikadze

Attacking

204 landed

Absorbing

219 absorbed

Brito

Attacking

110 landed

Absorbing

101 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Chikadze targets the head (56% of attacks) — Brito absorbs 66% of strikes there

🎯Brito targets the head (55% of attacks) — Chikadze absorbs 74% of strikes there

Chikadze · Last 5

Upcoming

Joanderson Brito

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09

L · KO · R2

Kevin Vallejos

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

L · Dec · R3

David Onama

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04

L · Dec · R3

Arnold Allen

Decision

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

W · Dec · R3

Alex Caceres

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08

Brito · Last 5

Upcoming

Giga Chikadze

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09

W · Sub · R1

Jordan Leavitt

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06

W · Dec · R3

Isaac Thomson

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

L · Dec · R3

Pat Sabatini

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04

L · Dec · R3

William Gomis

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

News & Media

Giga Chikadze · Joanderson Brito

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Joanderson

Brito

5 books quoted

18+ · BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG