UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2026
Catchweight
VS
48%
Basharat
52%
Ewing
Win Probability
Farid
Farid Basharat
"Ferocious"
15 – 0
5'8"71" reachOrthodox28 yrs6-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 64
Ethyn
Ethyn Ewing
"The Professor Finesser"
10 – 2
Volume Striker2-fight win streak30 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'6"
CFR 70

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Ewing

A battle of contrasting styles as Farid Basharat and Ethyn Ewing clash on the UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi card

Farid Basharat (15-0) meets Ethyn Ewing (10-2) in what promises to be a compelling matchup on the UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi card. The classic striker-vs-grappler dynamic defines this matchup, with Ethyn Ewing wanting to keep it standing and Farid Basharat looking to take it to the mat. This is a closely matched fight by the numbers, with both fighters carrying similar CFR ratings. The m…

Basharat intel

Farid Basharat (15-0) carries a CFR of 64.0 with a chin rating of 100 and momentum score of 100. Currently on strong form.

Ewing intel

Ethyn Ewing (10-2) carries a CFR of 69.6 with a chin rating of 100 and momentum score of 100. Currently on strong form.

Key angles

Ethyn Ewing's striking superiority should control the stand-up game

The low confidence rating suggests a close fight

The model gives Farid Basharat a 55.1% win probability

Risk flags

This is a close fight — Ethyn Ewing has a legitimate path to victory

Basharat
Ewing
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
69"
28+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Basharat
Ewing
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.0
69.6
57.9
Performance Avg
62.5
30
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
100
Basharat
Ewing
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
57%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Basharat
Ewing
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Basharat
Ewing
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Basharat
Ewing
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Basharat
Ewing
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Basharat
Ewing
Striking2.0 / 7.0Volume8.7 / 6.0Grappling3.3 / 1.2Wrestling2.3 / 0.8Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Basharat
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Ewing
Basharat
Attacking
60HEAD15BODY11LEGS86 landed
Absorbing
68HEAD22BODY12LEGS102 absorbed
Ewing
Attacking
49HEAD9BODY1LEGS59 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD14BODY5LEGS35 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Basharat targets the head (70% of attacks) — Ewing absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Ewing targets the head (83% of attacks) — Basharat absorbs 67% of strikes there

Basharat · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5W5.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.4W2023-032023-092024-012024-102025-102026-02
WinLossTrend

Ewing · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0105.9W6.1W2025-112026-04
WinLossTrend

Basharat · Last 5

Upcoming
Ethyn Ewing
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 5
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Victor HugoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01

Ewing · Last 3

Upcoming
Farid Basharat
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R3
Rafael EstevamRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Malcolm WellmakerRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11

News & Media

Farid Basharat · Ethyn Ewing
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