UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
Baku, Azerbaijan
27 Jun 2026
Catchweight
VS
52%
Almabayev
48%
Johnson
Win Probability
Asu
Asu Almabayev
"Zulfikar"
23 – 3
5'4"65" reachOrthodox32 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 58
Charles
Charles Johnson
"InnerG"
19 – 8
Well-Rounded35 yrsSwitch70" reach5'9"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Almabayev

A battle of contrasting styles as Asu Almabayev and Charles Johnson clash on the UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres card

Asu Almabayev (23-3) meets Charles Johnson (19-8) in what promises to be a compelling matchup on the UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres card. The classic striker-vs-grappler dynamic defines this matchup, with Charles Johnson wanting to keep it standing and Asu Almabayev looking to take it to the mat. This is a closely matched fight by the numbers, with both fighters carrying similar CFR ratings. …

Almabayev intel

Asu Almabayev (23-3) carries a CFR of 57.9 with a chin rating of 78 and momentum score of 82. Currently on strong form.

Johnson intel

Charles Johnson (19-8) carries a CFR of 54.3 with a chin rating of 68 and momentum score of 74. Recent results have been mixed.

Key angles

Charles Johnson's striking superiority should control the stand-up game

The medium confidence rating suggests a predictable outcome

The model gives Asu Almabayev a 50.0% win probability

Risk flags

This is a close fight — Charles Johnson has a legitimate path to victory

Almabayev
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'9"
65"
Reach
+70"
32+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Almabayev
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.9
53.8
53.7
Performance Avg
48.4
32
Quality of Victory
43
83
Momentum Score
75
Almabayev
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
2.0
59%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Almabayev
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
Almabayev
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
68
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/26 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Almabayev
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
75
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Almabayev
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
38%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Almabayev
Johnson
Striking1.7 / 4.9Volume7.0 / 6.1Grappling4.3 / 1.5Wrestling3.0 / 1.1Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure4.9 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Almabayev
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Johnson
Almabayev
Attacking
30HEAD9BODY14LEGS53 landed
Absorbing
35HEAD20BODY1LEGS56 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
211HEAD114BODY56LEGS381 landed
Absorbing
159HEAD51BODY38LEGS248 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Almabayev targets the head (57% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (55% of attacks) — Almabayev absorbs 63% of strikes there

Almabayev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0106.1W4.5W5.1W4.7W4.5L5.4W6.8W2023-082024-062025-032025-11
WinLossTrend

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.9L4.5W5.5W6.3L5.6L6.1L4.5W5.2W7.1W5.1W7.3L6.0W2.8L5.4W2022-072023-042024-072026-012026-03
WinLossTrend

Almabayev · Last 5

Upcoming
Charles Johnson
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Sub · R3
Alex PerezRating 6.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jose OchoaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Manel KapeRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Matheus NicolauRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

Johnson · Last 5

Upcoming
Asu Almabayev
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ramazan TemirovRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03

News & Media

Asu Almabayev · Charles Johnson
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