UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
Belo Horizonte, Brazil
23 Jun 2012
Heavyweight
VS
54%
Werdum
46%
Russow
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:28
FW
Fabricio Werdum
"Vai Cavalo"
24 – 9
6'4"77" reachOrthodox48 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
MR
Mike Russow
15 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide49 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Werdum

This is a genuine toss-up — Werdum at 54% vs Russow at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Werdum has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Werdum has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Werdum's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Russow has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Werdum
Russow
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
73"
48+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Werdum
Russow
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
17.6
57.8
Performance Avg
45.8
52
Quality of Victory
32
72
Momentum Score
79
Werdum
Russow
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.3
53%
Strike Accuracy
34%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
3
2
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance3
0Clinch0
13Ground0
Werdum
Russow
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Werdum
Russow
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/33 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
Werdum
Russow
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
79
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
W · KO · R3
Werdum
Russow
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
25%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Werdum
Russow
Striking4.7 / 3.8Volume4.0 / 5.3Grappling3.5 / 1.2Wrestling2.4 / 0.8Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure6.7 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Werdum
Strike Zones
Russow
Werdum
Attacking
26HEAD2BODY3LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Russow
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD2BODY3LEGS31 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Werdum targets the head (84% of attacks) — Russow absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Russow targets the head (100% of attacks) — Werdum absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Werdum
RND
Russow
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Werdum · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.2L5.2W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.1W4.5W5.1W5.2W2.6L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.9W4.6L5.5L5.0W2007-042012-062016-052018-032020-07
WinLossTrend

Russow · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0104.5W5.5W4.2W4.5W1.5L2.8L2009-082010-052011-032012-012012-062013-01
WinLossTrend

Werdum · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Alexander GustafssonRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R4
Alexander VolkovRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · Dec · R5
Marcin TyburaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
W · Sub · R1
Walt HarrisRating 5
Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10

Russow · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Shawn JordanRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Fabricio WerdumRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06
W · Dec · R3
Jon Olav EinemoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
W · R2
Jon MadsenRating 4.2
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
W · KO · R3
Todd DuffeeRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05

News & Media

Fabricio Werdum · Mike Russow
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