METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
Belo Horizonte, Brazil
23 Jun 2012
Heavyweight
VS
54%
Werdum
46%
Russow
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:28
★ Official Result
Fabricio WerdumwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:28
def. Mike Russow · UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Werdum
→
Actual result
Werdum wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Werdum at 54% vs Russow at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Werdum has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Risk flags
Werdum's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Russow has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WerdumRussow
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Werdum
Russow
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
73"
49
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Werdum
Russow
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
17.6
57.8
Performance Avg
45.8
52
Quality of Victory
32
72
Momentum Score
79
Werdum
Russow
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
3.8
4.0
Style: Volume
5.3
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
3
2
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance3
0Clinch0
13Ground0
Werdum
Russow
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Werdum
Russow
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/33 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
Werdum
Russow
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
79
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
W · KO · R3
Werdum
Russow
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
25%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Werdum
Russow
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
WerdumRussow
Strike Zones
Werdum
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedRussow
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Werdum targets the head (84% of attacks) — Russow absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Russow targets the head (100% of attacks) — Werdum absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Werdum
RND
Russow
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Werdum · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Alexander GustafssonSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikDecision
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L · KO · R4
Alexander VolkovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · Dec · R5
Marcin TyburaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
W · Sub · R1
Walt HarrisSubmission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
Russow · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Shawn JordanKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Fabricio WerdumKO/TKO
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06
W · Dec · R3
Jon Olav EinemoDecision
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
W · R2
Jon MadsenUFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
W · KO · R3
Todd DuffeeKO/TKO
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