UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Las Vegas, USA
29 May 2010
Heavyweight
VS
58%
Duffee
42%
Russow
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:35
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Duffee
This is a genuine toss-up — Duffee at 58% vs Russow at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Duffee has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Duffee has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Duffee's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Russow has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Duffee
Russow
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
73"
40+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Duffee
Russow
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.5
17.6
60.0
Performance Avg
45.8
60
Quality of Victory
32
98
Momentum Score
79
Duffee
Russow
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
0.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
34%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Duffee
Russow
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Duffee
Russow
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
Duffee
Russow
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
79
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
W · KO · R3
Duffee
Russow
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
25%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Duffee
Russow
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
DuffeeRussow
Strike Zones
Duffee
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedRussow
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Duffee targets the head (100% of attacks) — Russow absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Russow targets the head (100% of attacks) — Duffee absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Duffee
RND
Russow
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Duffee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Russow · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Duffee · Last 5
Upcoming
Jeff HughesUFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
L · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Anthony HamiltonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
W · KO · R1
Philip De FriesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R3
Mike RussowRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
Russow · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Shawn JordanRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Fabricio WerdumRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06
W · Dec · R3
Jon Olav EinemoRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
W · R2
Jon MadsenRating 4.2UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
W · KO · R3
Todd DuffeeRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05