★ Championship Bout · Interim Featherweight
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
Perth, Australia
11 Feb 2023
Interim Featherweight
VS
64%
Rodriguez
36%
Emmett
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rodriguez
Rodriguez holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Emmett has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rodriguez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rodriguez's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Emmett has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rodriguez
Emmett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
70"
33+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Emmett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.4
37.2
60.2
Performance Avg
46.3
51
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
15
Rodriguez
Emmett
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.4
48%
Strike Accuracy
38%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
7
11
Body
2
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
26Distance9
6Clinch0
4Ground1
Rodriguez
Emmett
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Emmett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
26
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/27 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Rodriguez
Emmett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
15
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Rodriguez
Emmett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
40%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Emmett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
RodriguezEmmett
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedEmmett
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (61% of attacks) — Emmett absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Emmett targets the head (70% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Emmett
0/0R00/0
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Emmett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullRating 4.5Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 4.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Sub · R2
Josh EmmettRating 5.2Submission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Brian OrtegaRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
Emmett · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Youssef ZalalRating 2.5Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Bryce MitchellRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Ilia TopuriaRating 7.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06