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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2020
Featherweight
VS
54%
Emmett
46%
Burgos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Josh
Josh Emmett
197
5'6"70" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 37
SB
Shane Burgos
"Hurricane"
153
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 32
★ Official Result
Josh EmmettwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Shane Burgos · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Emmett
Actual result
Emmett wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Emmett at 54% vs Burgos at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Emmett's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Burgos has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
EmmettBurgos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Emmett
Burgos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+75"
41
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Emmett
Burgos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.2
31.9
46.3
Performance Avg
50.0
38
Quality of Victory
35
15
Momentum Score
100
Emmett
Burgos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
4.8
6.0
Style: Volume
6.5
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
39
Head
20
9
Body
5
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
35Distance34
0Clinch0
16Ground0
Emmett
Burgos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Emmett
Burgos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Emmett
Burgos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Emmett
Burgos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
38%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Emmett
Burgos
Striking5.2 / 4.0Volume6.0 / 6.5Grappling1.4 / 2.5Wrestling1.0 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 1.3Pressure4.6 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Emmett
Strike Zones
Burgos
Emmett
Attacking
39HEAD9BODY3LEGS51 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD5BODY9LEGS34 absorbed
Burgos
Attacking
20HEAD5BODY9LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
39HEAD9BODY3LEGS51 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Emmett targets the head (76% of attacks) — Burgos absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Burgos targets the head (59% of attacks) — Emmett absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Emmett
RND
Burgos
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Emmett · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Kevin Vallejos
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Youssef Zalal
Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Lerone Murphy
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Bryce Mitchell
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Ilia Topuria
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

Burgos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Charles Jourdain
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Billy Quarantillo
Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R3
Edson Barboza
KO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Josh Emmett
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · KO · R3
Makwan Amirkhani
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

News & Media

Josh Emmett · Shane Burgos
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