UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2020
Featherweight
VS
54%
Emmett
46%
Burgos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Josh
Josh Emmett
19 – 7
5'6"70" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 37
SB
Shane Burgos
"Hurricane"
15 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 32

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Emmett

This is a genuine toss-up — Emmett at 54% vs Burgos at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Burgos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Emmett's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Burgos has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Emmett
Burgos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+75"
41
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Emmett
Burgos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.2
31.9
46.3
Performance Avg
50.0
38
Quality of Victory
35
15
Momentum Score
100
Emmett
Burgos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.6
38%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
39
Head
20
9
Body
5
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
35Distance34
0Clinch0
16Ground0
Emmett
Burgos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Emmett
Burgos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Emmett
Burgos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Emmett
Burgos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
38%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Emmett
Burgos
Striking5.2 / 4.0Volume6.0 / 6.5Grappling1.4 / 2.5Wrestling1.0 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 1.3Pressure4.6 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Emmett
Strike Zones
Burgos
Emmett
Attacking
39HEAD9BODY3LEGS51 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD5BODY9LEGS34 absorbed
Burgos
Attacking
20HEAD5BODY9LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
39HEAD9BODY3LEGS51 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Emmett targets the head (76% of attacks) — Burgos absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Burgos targets the head (59% of attacks) — Emmett absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Emmett
RND
Burgos
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Emmett · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W2.6L5.6W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.0W3.7L7.9L6.0W7.0L2.5L3.6L2016-052018-022022-062025-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Burgos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.5W4.5W4.5L5.0W5.0W5.6W5.6L4.5L5.7W5.3W2016-122018-012019-112021-112022-07
WinLossTrend

Emmett · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Youssef ZalalRating 2.5
Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Bryce MitchellRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Ilia TopuriaRating 7.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

Burgos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · KO · R3
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

News & Media

Josh Emmett · Shane Burgos
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