UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
Orlando, USA
24 Feb 2018
Featherweight
VS
45%
Emmett
55%
Stephens
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:35
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Stephens
This is a genuine toss-up — Emmett at 45% vs Stephens at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Emmett throws more volume but Stephens connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Emmett's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stephens has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Emmett
Stephens
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
+71"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Emmett
Stephens
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.2
45.0
46.3
Performance Avg
41.1
38
Quality of Victory
40
15
Momentum Score
76
Emmett
Stephens
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
38%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
10
0
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground5
Emmett
Stephens
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Emmett
Stephens
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
36/52 fights
Emmett
Stephens
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
76
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Emmett
Stephens
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
47%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Emmett
Stephens
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
EmmettStephens
Strike Zones
Emmett
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedStephens
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Emmett targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Stephens targets the head (77% of attacks) — Emmett absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Emmett
RND
Stephens
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Emmett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Stephens · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Emmett · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Youssef ZalalRating 2.5Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Bryce MitchellRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Ilia TopuriaRating 7.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
Stephens · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
King GreenRating 2.2Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Mason JonesRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Mateusz GamrotRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Calvin KattarRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10