METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos
Anaheim, USA
12 Nov 2011
Lightweight
VS
67%
Guida
33%
Henderson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Benson HendersonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Clay Guida · UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guida
→
Actual result
Henderson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Guida holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Henderson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Guida's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Henderson has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GuidaHenderson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Guida
Henderson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Guida
Henderson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
19.3
40.7
Performance Avg
51.8
35
Quality of Victory
34
78
Momentum Score
84
Guida
Henderson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
3.6
5.9
Style: Volume
8.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
5
1
Body
5
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch4
0Ground6
Guida
Henderson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
2.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
5
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Guida
Henderson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
8
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/60 fights
Chin rating based on
14/31 fights
Guida
Henderson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
84
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
Guida
Henderson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
18%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
2
11
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Guida
Henderson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
2.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
GuidaHenderson
Strike Zones
Guida
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedHenderson
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Guida targets the body (50% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Henderson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Guida absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Guida
RND
Henderson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Guida · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
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Henderson · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
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