METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Philadelphia, USA
30 Mar 2019
Featherweight
VS
50%
Emmett
50%
Johnson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:14
Josh
Josh Emmett
19 – 7
5'6"70" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Michael
Michael Johnson
"The Menace"
25 – 20
Well-Rounded40 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'10"
CFR 37
★ Official Result
Josh EmmettwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:14
def. Michael Johnson · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Emmett
→
Actual result
Emmett wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Emmett at 50% vs Johnson at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Emmett's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Johnson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
EmmettJohnson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Emmett
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+73"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Emmett
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.2
36.8
46.3
Performance Avg
42.5
38
Quality of Victory
38
15
Momentum Score
35
Emmett
Johnson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.4
38%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
2
Body
4
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Emmett
Johnson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Emmett
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
32/45 fights
Emmett
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Emmett
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
38%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Emmett
Johnson
Striking5.2 / 4.8Volume6.0 / 6.0Grappling1.4 / 1.5Wrestling1.0 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Emmett
Strike Zones
Johnson
Emmett
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY3LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD4BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
3HEAD4BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY3LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Emmett targets the head (38% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the body (57% of attacks) — Emmett absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Emmett
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Emmett · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W2.6L5.6W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.0W3.7L7.9L6.0W7.0L2.5L3.6L2016-052018-022022-062025-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W6.5L5.5L6.3W4.0L3.7L3.2L5.2W4.5W4.1L5.5L3.0L6.0L5.2W5.7L4.6W3.8L5.3W6.0W4.9W4.0L2010-122013-082017-072022-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Emmett · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Youssef ZalalRating 2.5
Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Bryce MitchellRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Ilia TopuriaRating 7.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

Johnson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Drew DoberRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05

News & Media

Josh Emmett · Michael Johnson
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