METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
Las Vegas, USA
11 Dec 2021
Featherweight
VS
43%
Emmett
57%
Ige
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Josh EmmettwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dan Ige · UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ige
→
Actual result
Emmett wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Emmett at 43% vs Ige at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Emmett's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ige has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EmmettIge
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Emmett
Ige
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
70"
Reach
+71"
41
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Emmett
Ige
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.2
48.8
46.3
Performance Avg
46.3
38
Quality of Victory
42
15
Momentum Score
53
Emmett
Ige
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
5.4
6.0
Style: Volume
4.7
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
16
1
Body
4
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
20Distance21
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Emmett
Ige
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.9
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Emmett
Ige
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
22/30 fights
Emmett
Ige
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
53
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Emmett
Ige
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
55%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Emmett
Ige
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
EmmettIge
Strike Zones
Emmett
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedIge
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Emmett targets the head (95% of attacks) — Ige absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Ige targets the head (73% of attacks) — Emmett absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Emmett
RND
Ige
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Emmett · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Youssef ZalalSubmission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Bryce MitchellKO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Ilia TopuriaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
Ige · Last 5
Upcoming
David MartinezNoche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
L · KO · R1
Melquizael CostaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Sean WoodsonKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Lerone MurphyDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10