METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Lightweight
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez
San Jose, USA
20 Apr 2013
Lightweight
VS
73%
Henderson
27%
Melendez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
BH
Benson Henderson
"Smooth"
24 – 7
5'9"70" reachSouthpaw42 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 19
GM
Gilbert Melendez
"El Nino"
22 – 8
Well-Rounded5-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'9"
CFR 7
★ Official Result
Benson HendersonwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Gilbert Melendez · UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Henderson
→
Actual result
Henderson wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

Henderson is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Melendez throws more volume but Henderson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Henderson's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HendersonMelendez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Henderson
Melendez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+73"
42+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Henderson
Melendez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
7.0
51.8
Performance Avg
20.7
34
Quality of Victory
25
84
Momentum Score
0
Henderson
Melendez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
0.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
30%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
4
Body
2
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance8
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Henderson
Melendez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Henderson
Melendez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
78
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
7/30 fights
Henderson
Melendez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Henderson
Melendez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
18%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Henderson
Melendez
Striking1.6 / 0.3Volume8.1 / 8.3Grappling3.4 / 2.4Wrestling2.4 / 1.7Submission1.8 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 0.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
Henderson
Strike Zones
Melendez
Henderson
Attacking
5HEAD4BODY5LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Melendez
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD4BODY5LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Henderson targets the head (36% of attacks) — Melendez absorbs 36% of strikes there
🎯Melendez targets the head (75% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Henderson
RND
Melendez
0/0R00/0

Henderson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W4.9W5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.4W1.7L5.5L5.4W4.5W2011-042012-082014-012015-022015-11
WinLossTrend

Melendez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5L4.5W2.1L5.5L6.0L6.0L6.9L2013-042014-122016-072019-07
WinLossTrend

Henderson · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Sub · R4
Brandon ThatchRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
W · Sub · R4
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06

Melendez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 6
Decision
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 6
Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Eddie AlvarezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Anthony PettisRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12

News & Media

Benson Henderson · Gilbert Melendez
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