UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Winnipeg, Canada
16 Dec 2017
Featherweight
VS
36%
Lamas
64%
Emmett
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Emmett
Emmett holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Lamas has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lamas has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lamas's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Emmett has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lamas
Emmett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
70"
44
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lamas
Emmett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
37.2
52.0
Performance Avg
46.3
44
Quality of Victory
38
98
Momentum Score
15
Lamas
Emmett
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
38%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
4
Body
1
10
Leg
3
RangeRange
17Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Lamas
Emmett
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lamas
Emmett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
26
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Lamas
Emmett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
15
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Lamas
Emmett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
40%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lamas
Emmett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
LamasEmmett
Strike Zones
Lamas
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedEmmett
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lamas targets the legs (59% of attacks) — Emmett absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Emmett targets the head (60% of attacks) — Lamas absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lamas
RND
Emmett
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lamas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Emmett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Lamas · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Calvin KattarRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · KO · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Mirsad BekticRating 5.5Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
Emmett · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Youssef ZalalRating 2.5Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Bryce MitchellRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Ilia TopuriaRating 7.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06