UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis
Seattle, USA
26 Mar 2011
Heavyweight
VS
54%
Madsen
46%
Russow
Win Probability
JM
Jon Madsen
8 – 2
6'0"72" reachOrthodox46 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
MR
Mike Russow
15 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide49 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Madsen

This is a genuine toss-up — Madsen at 54% vs Russow at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Madsen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Russow has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Madsen
Russow
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+73"
46+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Madsen
Russow
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
17.6
52.2
Performance Avg
45.8
34
Quality of Victory
32
84
Momentum Score
79
Madsen
Russow
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.3
37%
Strike Accuracy
34%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance3
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Madsen
Russow
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Madsen
Russow
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/10 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
Madsen
Russow
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
79
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
W · KO · R3
Madsen
Russow
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Madsen
Russow
Striking4.1 / 3.8Volume7.6 / 5.3Grappling1.8 / 1.2Wrestling1.3 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
7.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Madsen
Strike Zones
Russow
Madsen
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Russow
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Madsen targets the head (86% of attacks) — Russow absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Russow targets the head (75% of attacks) — Madsen absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Madsen
RND
Russow
0/0R00/0

Madsen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.8L2009-122010-042010-072010-102011-03
WinLossTrend

Russow · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0104.5W5.5W4.2W4.5W1.5L2.8L2009-082010-052011-032012-012012-062013-01
WinLossTrend

Madsen · Last 5

L · R2
Mike RussowRating 4.8
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
W · KO · R1
Gilbert YvelRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Dec · R3
Karlos VemolaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Dec · R3
Mostapha Al-TurkRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Dec · R3
Justin WrenRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12

Russow · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Shawn JordanRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Fabricio WerdumRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06
W · Dec · R3
Jon Olav EinemoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
W · R2
Jon MadsenRating 4.2
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
W · KO · R3
Todd DuffeeRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05

News & Media

Jon Madsen · Mike Russow
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