UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov
Albuquerque, USA
7 Jun 2014
Lightweight
VS
49%
Henderson
51%
Khabilov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 4 · 1:16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Khabilov
This is a genuine toss-up — Henderson at 49% vs Khabilov at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Henderson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Henderson's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Henderson
Khabilov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
+73"
42
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Henderson
Khabilov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
19.9
51.8
Performance Avg
48.2
34
Quality of Victory
29
84
Momentum Score
100
Henderson
Khabilov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.7
45%
Strike Accuracy
37%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Henderson
Khabilov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Henderson
Khabilov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
13/28 fights
Henderson
Khabilov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Henderson
Khabilov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
18%
10%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Henderson
Khabilov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
HendersonKhabilov
Strike Zones
Henderson
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedKhabilov
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Henderson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Khabilov absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Henderson
RND
Khabilov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Henderson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Khabilov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Henderson · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Sub · R4
Brandon ThatchRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
W · Sub · R4
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Khabilov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Sergey KhandozhkoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Diego FerreiraRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Jason SaggoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12