★ Championship Bout · Lightweight
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
Denver, USA
11 Aug 2012
Lightweight
VS
43%
Henderson
57%
Edgar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Edgar
This is a genuine toss-up — Henderson at 43% vs Edgar at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Edgar throws more volume but Henderson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Henderson's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Edgar has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Henderson
Edgar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
68"
42+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Henderson
Edgar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
25.4
51.8
Performance Avg
48.0
34
Quality of Victory
39
84
Momentum Score
68
Henderson
Edgar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
10
2
Body
4
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
16Distance18
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Henderson
Edgar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Henderson
Edgar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Moderate
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Henderson
Edgar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
68
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Henderson
Edgar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
18%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
2
9
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Henderson
Edgar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
HendersonEdgar
Strike Zones
Henderson
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedEdgar
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Henderson targets the head (81% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Edgar targets the head (53% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Henderson
RND
Edgar
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Henderson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Edgar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Henderson · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Sub · R4
Brandon ThatchRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
W · Sub · R4
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Edgar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12