METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
Chicago, USA
25 Jan 2014
Lightweight
VS
53%
Henderson
47%
Thomson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Benson HendersonwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Josh Thomson · UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Henderson
→
Actual result
Henderson wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Henderson at 53% vs Thomson at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Thomson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Henderson's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HendersonThomson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Henderson
Thomson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
42+
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Henderson
Thomson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
17.0
51.8
Performance Avg
45.1
34
Quality of Victory
47
84
Momentum Score
43
Henderson
Thomson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
7.5
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
6.0
8.1
Style: Volume
3.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
7
Body
1
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
8Distance7
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Henderson
Thomson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Henderson
Thomson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
7/31 fights
Henderson
Thomson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
43
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Henderson
Thomson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
18%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Henderson
Thomson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
HendersonThomson
Strike Zones
Henderson
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedThomson
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Henderson targets the body (64% of attacks) — Thomson absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Thomson targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Henderson
RND
Thomson
0/0R00/0
Henderson · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Jorge MasvidalDecision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Sub · R4
Brandon ThatchSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneDecision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
W · Sub · R4
Rustam KhabilovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Thomson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
King GreenDecision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · Dec · R5
Benson HendersonDecision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
W · KO · R2
Nate DiazKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04
L · KO · R1
Yves EdwardsKO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08