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UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
Chicago, USA
25 Jan 2014
Lightweight
VS
53%
Henderson
47%
Thomson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
BH
Benson Henderson
"Smooth"
24 – 7
5'9"70" reachSouthpaw42 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 19
JT
Josh Thomson
"The Punk"
22 – 9
Striker3-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Benson HendersonwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Josh Thomson · UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Henderson
→
Actual result
Henderson wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Henderson at 53% vs Thomson at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Thomson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Thomson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Henderson's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HendersonThomson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Henderson
Thomson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
42+
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Henderson
Thomson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
17.0
51.8
Performance Avg
45.1
34
Quality of Victory
47
84
Momentum Score
43
Henderson
Thomson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
1.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
7
Body
1
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
8Distance7
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Henderson
Thomson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Henderson
Thomson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
7/31 fights
Henderson
Thomson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
43
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Henderson
Thomson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
18%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Henderson
Thomson
Striking1.6 / 7.5Volume8.1 / 3.5Grappling3.4 / 0.8Wrestling2.4 / 0.6Submission1.8 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Henderson
Strike Zones
Thomson
Henderson
Attacking
3HEAD7BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY4LEGS8 absorbed
Thomson
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY4LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD7BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Henderson targets the body (64% of attacks) — Thomson absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Thomson targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Henderson
RND
Thomson
0/0R00/0

Henderson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W4.9W5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.4W1.7L5.5L5.4W4.5W2011-042012-082014-012015-022015-11
WinLossTrend

Thomson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W4.5W1.5L5.3W5.5L6.2L6.0L2003-092004-082014-012015-07
WinLossTrend

Henderson · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Sub · R4
Brandon ThatchRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
W · Sub · R4
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06

Thomson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · Dec · R5
Benson HendersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
W · KO · R2
Nate DiazRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04
L · KO · R1
Yves EdwardsRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08

News & Media

Benson Henderson · Josh Thomson
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