UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Oct 2025
Featherweight
VS
40%
Emmett
60%
Zalal
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:38
Josh
Josh Emmett
19 – 7
5'6"70" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Youssef
Youssef Zalal
"The Moroccan Devil"
18 – 6
Well-Rounded29 yrsSwitch72" reach5'10"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Zalal

Zalal holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Emmett has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Emmett throws more volume but Zalal connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Emmett's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Emmett
Zalal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+72"
41
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Emmett
Zalal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.2
55.2
46.3
Performance Avg
49.7
38
Quality of Victory
38
15
Momentum Score
66
Emmett
Zalal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.2
38%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Emmett
Zalal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Emmett
Zalal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Emmett
Zalal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
66
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Emmett
Zalal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
4
6
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Emmett
Zalal
Striking5.2 / 1.3Volume6.0 / 5.3Grappling1.4 / 5.2Wrestling1.0 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure4.6 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Emmett
RND
Zalal
0/0R00/0

Emmett · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W2.6L5.6W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.0W3.7L7.9L6.0W7.0L2.5L3.6L2016-052018-022022-062025-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Zalal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.5W4.5W4.5W7.9L5.7L6.6L6.4W5.0W6.0W5.0W5.1W6.5L2020-022020-102024-032025-022026-04
WinLossTrend

Emmett · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Youssef ZalalRating 2.5
Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Bryce MitchellRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Ilia TopuriaRating 7.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

Zalal · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Josh EmmettRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Jack ShoreRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Jarno ErrensRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

News & Media

Josh Emmett · Youssef Zalal
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