METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2025
Featherweight
VS
36%
Emmett
64%
Murphy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Lerone MurphywinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Josh Emmett · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Murphy
→
Actual result
Murphy wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Murphy holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Emmett has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Emmett's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EmmettMurphy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Emmett
Murphy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
+73"
41
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Emmett
Murphy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.2
65.5
46.3
Performance Avg
57.7
38
Quality of Victory
36
15
Momentum Score
100
Emmett
Murphy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
5.1
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
5.0
6.0
Style: Volume
7.1
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
10
0
Body
1
1
Leg
7
RangeRange
11Distance18
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Emmett
Murphy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Emmett
Murphy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Emmett
Murphy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Emmett
Murphy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Emmett
Murphy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
EmmettMurphy
Strike Zones
Emmett
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedMurphy
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Emmett targets the head (91% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Murphy targets the head (56% of attacks) — Emmett absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Emmett
RND
Murphy
0/0R00/0
Emmett · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Youssef ZalalSubmission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Bryce MitchellKO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Ilia TopuriaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
Murphy · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Movsar EvloevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Aaron PicoKO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Dan IgeDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Edson BarbozaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05