METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till
Gdansk, Poland
21 Oct 2017
Featherweight
VS
32%
Arantes
68%
Emmett
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
FA
Felipe Arantes
"Sertanejo"
18 – 10
5'8"73" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
Josh
Josh Emmett
19 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'6"
CFR 37
★ Official Result
Josh EmmettwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Felipe Arantes · UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Emmett
→
Actual result
Emmett wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Emmett holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Arantes has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Arantes's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Emmett has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ArantesEmmett
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Arantes
Emmett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
73"+
Reach
70"
38+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arantes
Emmett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
37.2
43.8
Performance Avg
46.3
43
Quality of Victory
38
64
Momentum Score
15
Arantes
Emmett
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
4.6
4.1
Style: Volume
6.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
12
4
Body
5
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Arantes
Emmett
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arantes
Emmett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
26
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/28 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Arantes
Emmett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
15
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Arantes
Emmett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arantes
Emmett
Striking2.9 / 5.2Volume4.1 / 6.0Grappling4.2 / 1.4Wrestling2.9 / 1.0Submission4.0 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 4.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Arantes
Strike Zones
Emmett
Arantes
Attacking
8HEAD4BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD5BODY4LEGS21 absorbed
Emmett
Attacking
12HEAD5BODY4LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD4BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arantes targets the head (57% of attacks) — Emmett absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Emmett targets the head (57% of attacks) — Arantes absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arantes
RND
Emmett
0/0R00/0
0/0R40/0

Arantes · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Song Yadong
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Josh Emmett
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
Erik Perez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Sub · R2
Jerrod Sanders
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Yves Jabouin
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08

Emmett · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Kevin Vallejos
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Youssef Zalal
Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Lerone Murphy
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Bryce Mitchell
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Ilia Topuria
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

News & Media

Felipe Arantes · Josh Emmett
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